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Changes in the frequency of shopping trips in response to a congestion charge

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  • Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk
  • Fonzone, Achille
  • Quddus, Mohammed
  • Bell, Michael G.H.

Abstract

This paper presents an analysis of shopping trips into London's central shopping district (Oxford Street area) before and after the introduction of the congestion charging scheme in February 2003. In collaboration with a major department store, three surveys have been conducted in order to understand the changes in shopping frequency and the reasons for so doing. The analysis is based on tabulations of the raw data, binary logit models to analyse which customer groups have reduced their shopping frequency and ordered logit models to analyse which groups have reduced their shopping more than others. The outcome shows that within the sample surveyed the congestion charging scheme has caused a significant number to shop less often in central London and only a few to shop more often in the Oxford Street area. Negative experiences with the congestion charging scheme or a generally bad perception of the scheme are the main reasons for this. Other events, such as the Central Line closure or terrorist threats occurring at the same time also have a temporary influence on the shopping frequency in central London. Evidence from other travel demand measures on city centre shopping activities suggest that the long-term effects of the congestion charge could be more positive.

Suggested Citation

  • Schmöcker, Jan-Dirk & Fonzone, Achille & Quddus, Mohammed & Bell, Michael G.H., 2006. "Changes in the frequency of shopping trips in response to a congestion charge," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 217-228, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:13:y:2006:i:3:p:217-228
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Prud'homme, Rémy & Bocarejo, Juan Pablo, 2005. "The London congestion charge: a tentative economic appraisal," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 279-287, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Timilsina, Govinda R. & Dulal, Hari B., 2008. "Fiscal policy instruments for reducing congestion and atmospheric emissions in the transport sector : a review," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4652, The World Bank.
    2. Wadud, Zia & Chen, Danlei, 2018. "Congestion impacts of shopping using vehicle tracking data," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 123-130.
    3. Koh, Wee Ping & Chin, Kian Keong, 2022. "The applicability of prospect theory in examining drivers’ trip decisions, in response to Electronic Road Pricing (ERP) rates adjustments - a study using travel data in Singapore," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 115-127.
    4. Akgün, Emine Zehra & Monios, Jason & Rye, Tom & Fonzone, Achille, 2019. "Influences on urban freight transport policy choice by local authorities," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 88-98.
    5. Munford, Luke A., 2017. "The impact of congestion charging on social capital," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 192-208.
    6. Yi-Wen Kuo & Cheng-Hsien Hsieh & Cheng-Min Feng & Wen-Ya Yeh, 2013. "Effects of price promotions on potential consumers of high-speed rail," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(8), pages 722-738, December.

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