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I’m multimodal, aren’t you? How ego-centric anchoring biases experts’ perceptions of travel patterns

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  • Ralph, Kelcie
  • Delbosc, Alexa

Abstract

Transport professional process an enormous range of information to help them accurately predict how, when and where people will use the transport system. Yet we know from a long-standing history of psychology research that people draw upon a range of mental shortcuts when making estimates about the world. Ego-centric anchoring and adjustment is a common example of a mental heuristic whereby people draw upon their own beliefs and experiences when estimating the behaviors and attitudes of others. Do transport professionals use ego-centric anchoring when estimating travel patterns? To find out we conducted a survey of transportation professionals (n=247) who were asked to reveal their own travel patterns and residential location and to estimate the travel patterns of millennials, generation X, and baby boomers.

Suggested Citation

  • Ralph, Kelcie & Delbosc, Alexa, 2017. "I’m multimodal, aren’t you? How ego-centric anchoring biases experts’ perceptions of travel patterns," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 283-293.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:100:y:2017:i:c:p:283-293
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2017.04.027
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    4. Kroesen, Maarten & Milakis, Dimitris & van Wee, Bert, 2023. "Automated Vehicles: Changes in expert opinions over time," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 1-10.
    5. Brown, Anne E., 2017. "Car-less or car-free? Socioeconomic and mobility differences among zero-car households," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 152-159.

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