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Analysts’ preference for growth investing and vulnerability to market-wide sentiment

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  • Miwa, Kotaro
  • Ueda, Kazuhiro

Abstract

Existing studies have argued that the market-wide sentiment primarily affects individual noise traders, rather than other sophisticated market participants. Contrary to this perspective, in this study, we find that the financial analysts, who are sophisticated market participants, may be more vulnerable to sentiment than are other market participants. As a reason for this vulnerability, we focus on analysts’ preference for growth investing, and predict that, due to this preference, their fair value estimations for growth stocks would be more upwardly biased by bullish market-wide sentiment than those of other market participants. We also predict that this optimism for growth stocks would lower the investment value of their recommendations. As is consistent with our predictions, we find that, especially during periods of bullish sentiment, analysts consider growth stocks to be undervalued, even though these stocks are in fact overvalued. In addition, we find that recommended stocks experience poor relative return performance, especially after periods of bullish sentiment, and that this poor performance is not observed after controlling for growth factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Miwa, Kotaro & Ueda, Kazuhiro, 2016. "Analysts’ preference for growth investing and vulnerability to market-wide sentiment," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 40-52.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:61:y:2016:i:c:p:40-52
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2015.11.003
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    Cited by:

    1. Markus Buxbaum & Wolfgang Schultze & Samuel L. Tiras, 2023. "Do analysts’ target prices stabilize the stock market?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 763-816, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investor sentiment; Financial analyst; Stock recommendation; Growth investing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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