IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v565y2021ics0378437120308840.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Information, opinion and pandemic

Author

Listed:
  • Bernardes, Américo T.
  • Ribeiro, Leonardo Costa

Abstract

The world’s population suffers a COVID-19 pandemic. By September 2020 nearly 1 million people had died. These are official numbers. The real cases might be much higher, due to under-reporting in many countries. Different strategies were adopted by national governments. Neglecting what was defined by sanitarian authorities, some politicians, at the beginning of the pandemic, declared that it would be a little flu, without consequences, lighter than seasonal flues. Some politicians propagated medicines with no scientific support. In many countries and regions, people became confused. The population’s reactions to these political positions may facilitate or block the virus spread. In this paper, we propose a model connecting the spreading of opinions with the propagation of a pandemic. We discuss how conflicting opinions can diffuse in the pandemic environment and the influence it has on the population’s behavior; how it may cause a greater or smaller number of infected individuals.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernardes, Américo T. & Ribeiro, Leonardo Costa, 2021. "Information, opinion and pandemic," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:565:y:2021:i:c:s0378437120308840
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2020.125586
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437120308840
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2020.125586?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. A. T. Bernardes & U. M. S. Costa & A. D. Araujo & D. Stauffer, 2001. "Damage Spreading, Coarsening Dynamics And Distribution Of Political Votes In Sznajd Model On Square Lattice," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(02), pages 159-167.
    2. Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron & Józef Sznajd, 2000. "Opinion Evolution In Closed Community," International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(06), pages 1157-1165.
    3. Kacperski, Krzysztof & Hołyst, Janusz A., 2000. "Phase transitions as a persistent feature of groups with leaders in models of opinion formation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 287(3), pages 631-643.
    4. Jimit R. Majmudar & Stephen M. Krone & Bert O. Baumgaertner & Rebecca C. Tyson, 2020. "Voter models and external influence," The Journal of Mathematical Sociology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(1), pages 1-11, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Yuan-Hao & Wang, Hao-Jie & Lu, Zhong-Wen & Hu, Mao-Bin, 2023. "Impact of awareness dissemination on epidemic reaction–diffusion in multiplex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 621(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Piotr Przybyła & Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron & Rafał Weron, 2014. "Diffusion Of Innovation Within An Agent-Based Model: Spinsons, Independence And Advertising," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(01), pages 1-22.
    2. Grabowski, A. & Kosiński, R.A., 2006. "Ising-based model of opinion formation in a complex network of interpersonal interactions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 361(2), pages 651-664.
    3. Schweitzer, Frank & Zimmermann, Jörg & Mühlenbein, Heinz, 2002. "Coordination of decisions in a spatial agent model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 303(1), pages 189-216.
    4. Pawel Sobkowicz, 2011. "Simulations of opinion changes in scientific communities," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 87(2), pages 233-250, May.
    5. Pawel Sobkowicz, 2009. "Modelling Opinion Formation with Physics Tools: Call for Closer Link with Reality," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11.
    6. Sznajd-Weron, Katarzyna & Sznajd, Józef & Weron, Tomasz, 2021. "A review on the Sznajd model — 20 years after," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
    7. Kaye-Blake, William & Li, Frank Y. & Martin, A. McLeish & McDermott, Alan & Neil, Hayley & Rains, Scott, 2009. "A review of Multi-Agent Simulation Models in Agriculture," 2009 Conference, August 27-28, 2009, Nelson, New Zealand 97165, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    8. Lu, Xi & Mo, Hongming & Deng, Yong, 2015. "An evidential opinion dynamics model based on heterogeneous social influential power," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 98-107.
    9. Xiaolan Qian & Wenchen Han & Junzhong Yang, 2024. "From the DeGroot Model to the DeGroot-Non-Consensus Model: The Jump States and the Frozen Fragment States," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-13, January.
    10. Yue Chen & Xiaojian Niu & Yan Zhang, 2019. "Exploring Contrarian Degree in the Trading Behavior of China's Stock Market," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-12, April.
    11. Hang-Hyun Jo & Jeoung-Yoo Kim, 2012. "Competitive Targeted Marketing," ISER Discussion Paper 0834, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
    12. Ricardo Almeida & Agnieszka B. Malinowska & Tatiana Odzijewicz, 2019. "Optimal Leader–Follower Control for the Fractional Opinion Formation Model," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 182(3), pages 1171-1185, September.
    13. Guzmán-Vargas, L. & Hernández-Pérez, R., 2006. "Small-world topology and memory effects on decision time in opinion dynamics," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 372(2), pages 326-332.
    14. Tiwari, Mukesh & Yang, Xiguang & Sen, Surajit, 2021. "Modeling the nonlinear effects of opinion kinematics in elections: A simple Ising model with random field based study," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 582(C).
    15. Katarzyna Ostasiewicz & Michal H. Tyc & Piotr Goliczewski & Piotr Magnuszewski & Andrzej Radosz & Jan Sendzimir, 2006. "Integrating economic and psychological insights in binary choice models with social interactions," Papers physics/0609170, arXiv.org.
    16. Si, Xia-Meng & Wang, Wen-Dong & Ma, Yan, 2016. "Role of propagation thresholds in sentiment-based model of opinion evolution with information diffusion," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 451(C), pages 549-559.
    17. Karataieva, Tatiana & Koshmanenko, Volodymyr & Krawczyk, Małgorzata J. & Kułakowski, Krzysztof, 2019. "Mean field model of a game for power," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 535-547.
    18. AskariSichani, Omid & Jalili, Mahdi, 2015. "Influence maximization of informed agents in social networks," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 254(C), pages 229-239.
    19. Javarone, Marco Alberto, 2014. "Social influences in opinion dynamics: The role of conformity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 414(C), pages 19-30.
    20. Michel Grabisch & Agnieszka Rusinowska, 2020. "A Survey on Nonstrategic Models of Opinion Dynamics," Games, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-29, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:565:y:2021:i:c:s0378437120308840. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.