IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v502y2018icp370-378.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An improvement of the measurement of time series irreversibility with visibility graph approach

Author

Listed:
  • Wu, Zhenyu
  • Shang, Pengjian
  • Xiong, Hui

Abstract

We propose a method to improve the measure of real-valued time series irreversibility which contains two tools: the directed horizontal visibility graph and the Kullback–Leibler divergence. The degree of time irreversibility is estimated by the Kullback–Leibler divergence between the in and out degree distributions presented in the associated visibility graph. In our work, we reframe the in and out degree distributions by encoding them with different embedded dimensions used in calculating permutation entropy(PE). With this improved method, we can not only estimate time series irreversibility efficiently, but also detect time series irreversibility from multiple dimensions. We verify the validity of our method and then estimate the amount of time irreversibility of series generated by chaotic maps as well as global stock markets over the period 2005–2015. The result shows that the amount of time irreversibility reaches the peak with embedded dimension d=3 under circumstances of experiment and financial markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu, Zhenyu & Shang, Pengjian & Xiong, Hui, 2018. "An improvement of the measurement of time series irreversibility with visibility graph approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 502(C), pages 370-378.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:502:y:2018:i:c:p:370-378
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.02.131
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437118302401
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2018.02.131?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Di Matteo, T. & Aste, T. & Dacorogna, M.M., 2003. "Scaling behaviors in differently developed markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 324(1), pages 183-188.
    2. Gao, Jianbo & Hu, Jing, 2014. "Financial crisis, Omori's law, and negative entropy flow," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 79-86.
    3. Lucas Lacasa & Ryan Flanagan, 2016. "Irreversibility of financial time series: a graph-theoretical approach," Papers 1601.01980, arXiv.org.
    4. Cammarota, Camillo & Rogora, Enrico, 2007. "Time reversal, symbolic series and irreversibility of human heartbeat," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 1649-1654.
    5. Plerou, Vasiliki & Gopikrishnan, Parameswaran & Rosenow, Bernd & Amaral, Luis A.N. & Stanley, H.Eugene, 2000. "Econophysics: financial time series from a statistical physics point of view," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 279(1), pages 443-456.
    6. Fong, Wai Mun, 2003. "Time reversibility tests of volume-volatility dynamics for stock returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 39-45, October.
    7. Chen, Yi-Ting & Chou, Ray Y. & Kuan, Chung-Ming, 2000. "Testing time reversibility without moment restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 199-218, March.
    8. Gutin, Gregory & Mansour, Toufik & Severini, Simone, 2011. "A characterization of horizontal visibility graphs and combinatorics on words," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(12), pages 2421-2428.
    9. Gilles Zumbach, 2009. "Time reversal invariance in finance," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(5), pages 505-515.
    10. Matteo, T. Di & Aste, T. & Dacorogna, Michel M., 2005. "Long-term memories of developed and emerging markets: Using the scaling analysis to characterize their stage of development," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 827-851, April.
    11. Bartolo Luque & Lucas Lacasa & Fernando J Ballesteros & Alberto Robledo, 2011. "Feigenbaum Graphs: A Complex Network Perspective of Chaos," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(9), pages 1-8, September.
    12. Xia, Jianan & Shang, Pengjian & Wang, Jing & Shi, Wenbin, 2014. "Classifying of financial time series based on multiscale entropy and multiscale time irreversibility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 400(C), pages 151-158.
    13. Stanley, H.E & Amaral, L.A.N & Canning, D & Gopikrishnan, P & Lee, Y & Liu, Y, 1999. "Econophysics: Can physicists contribute to the science of economics?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 269(1), pages 156-169.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Yuanyuan & Shang, Pengjian, 2018. "A new measurement of financial time irreversibility based on information measures method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 221-230.
    2. Huang, Yong & Yang, Dongqing & Wang, Lei & Wang, Kehong, 2020. "Classifying of welding time series based on multi-scale time irreversibility analysis and extreme learning machine," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    3. Jessica Morales Herrera & Ra'ul Salgado-Garc'ia, 2023. "Trend patterns statistics for assessing irreversibility in cryptocurrencies: time-asymmetry versus inefficiency," Papers 2307.08612, arXiv.org.
    4. Cristescu, Constantin P. & Stan, Cristina & Scarlat, Eugen I. & Minea, Teofil & Cristescu, Cristina M., 2012. "Parameter motivated mutual correlation analysis: Application to the study of currency exchange rates based on intermittency parameter and Hurst exponent," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(8), pages 2623-2635.
    5. Zunino, Luciano & Zanin, Massimiliano & Tabak, Benjamin M. & Pérez, Darío G. & Rosso, Osvaldo A., 2009. "Forbidden patterns, permutation entropy and stock market inefficiency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(14), pages 2854-2864.
    6. Olivares, Felipe & Sun, Xiaoqian & Wandelt, Sebastian & Zanin, Massimiliano, 2023. "Measuring landing independence and interactions using statistical physics," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    7. Rong, Lei & Shang, Pengjian, 2018. "New irreversibility measure and complexity analysis based on singular value decomposition," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 913-924.
    8. Li, Jinyang & Shang, Pengjian, 2018. "Time irreversibility of financial time series based on higher moments and multiscale Kullback–Leibler divergence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 502(C), pages 248-255.
    9. Xiong, Hui & Shang, Pengjian & Xia, Jianan & Wang, Jing, 2018. "Time irreversibility and intrinsics revealing of series with complex network approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 499(C), pages 241-249.
    10. Vogl, Markus, 2023. "Hurst exponent dynamics of S&P 500 returns: Implications for market efficiency, long memory, multifractality and financial crises predictability by application of a nonlinear dynamics analysis framewo," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    11. Sensoy, A., 2013. "Time-varying long range dependence in market returns of FEAS members," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 39-45.
    12. Matthieu Garcin, 2021. "Forecasting with fractional Brownian motion: a financial perspective," Papers 2105.09140, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
    13. A. Gómez-Águila & J. E. Trinidad-Segovia & M. A. Sánchez-Granero, 2022. "Improvement in Hurst exponent estimation and its application to financial markets," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-21, December.
    14. Paulo Ferreira & Marcus Fernandes da Silva & Idaraí Santos de Santana, 2019. "Detrended Correlation Coefficients Between Exchange Rate (in Dollars) and Stock Markets in the World’s Largest Economies," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, February.
    15. Aslan, Aylin & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2020. "Intraday efficiency-frequency nexus in the cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    16. Sukpitak, Jessada & Hengpunya, Varagorn, 2016. "The influence of trading volume on market efficiency: The DCCA approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 458(C), pages 259-265.
    17. Kostanjcar, Zvonko & Jeren, Branko & Juretic, Zeljan, 2012. "Impact of uncertainty in expected return estimation on stock price volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(22), pages 5563-5571.
    18. Cem Çağrı Dönmez & Abdulkadir Atalan, 2019. "Developing Statistical Optimization Models for Urban Competitiveness Index: Under the Boundaries of Econophysics Approach," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-11, November.
    19. Kristoufek, Ladislav & Vosvrda, Miloslav, 2016. "Gold, currencies and market efficiency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 449(C), pages 27-34.
    20. Kristoufek, Ladislav & Vosvrda, Miloslav, 2014. "Commodity futures and market efficiency," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 50-57.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:502:y:2018:i:c:p:370-378. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.