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Quantifying the contagion effect of the 2008 financial crisis between the G7 countries (by GDP nominal)

Author

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  • da Silva, Marcus Fernandes
  • de Area Leão Pereira, Éder Johnson
  • da Silva Filho, Aloisio Machado
  • de Castro, Arleys Pereira Nunes
  • Miranda, José Garcia Vivas
  • Zebende, Gilney Figueira

Abstract

In this paper we quantify the cross-correlation between the adjusted closing index of the G7 countries, by their Gross Domestic Product (nominal). For this purpose we consider the 2008 financial crisis. Thus, we intend to observe the impact of the 2008 crisis by applying the DCCA cross-correlation coefficient ρDCCA between these countries. As an immediate result we observe that there is a positive cross-correlation between the index, and this coefficient changes with time between weak, medium, and strong values. If we compare the pre-crisis period (before 2008) with the post-crisis period (after 2008), it is noticed that ρDCCA changes its value. From these facts, we propose to study the contagion (interdependence) effect from this change by a new variable, ΔρDCCA. Thus, we present new findings for the 2008 crisis between the members of the G7.

Suggested Citation

  • da Silva, Marcus Fernandes & de Area Leão Pereira, Éder Johnson & da Silva Filho, Aloisio Machado & de Castro, Arleys Pereira Nunes & Miranda, José Garcia Vivas & Zebende, Gilney Figueira, 2016. "Quantifying the contagion effect of the 2008 financial crisis between the G7 countries (by GDP nominal)," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 453(C), pages 1-8.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:453:y:2016:i:c:p:1-8
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.01.099
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