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Perturbation expansion for option pricing with stochastic volatility

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  • Jizba, Petr
  • Kleinert, Hagen
  • Haener, Patrick

Abstract

We fit the volatility fluctuations of the S&P 500 index well by a Chi distribution, and the distribution of log-returns by a corresponding superposition of Gaussian distributions. The Fourier transform of this is, remarkably, of the Tsallis type. An option pricing formula is derived from the same superposition of Black–Scholes expressions. An explicit analytic formula is deduced from a perturbation expansion around a Black–Scholes formula with the mean volatility. The expansion has two parts. The first takes into account the non-Gaussian character of the stock-fluctuations and is organized by powers of the excess kurtosis, the second is contract based, and is organized by the moments of moneyness of the option. With this expansion we show that for the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50 option data, a Δ-hedging strategy is close to being optimal.

Suggested Citation

  • Jizba, Petr & Kleinert, Hagen & Haener, Patrick, 2009. "Perturbation expansion for option pricing with stochastic volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(17), pages 3503-3520.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:388:y:2009:i:17:p:3503-3520
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2009.04.027
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
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    Cited by:

    1. Rashidi Ranjbar, Hedieh & Seifi, Abbas, 2015. "A path-independent method for barrier option pricing in hidden Markov models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 440(C), pages 1-8.
    2. Marroquı´n-Martı´nez, Naroa & Moreno, Manuel, 2013. "Optimizing bounds on security prices in incomplete markets. Does stochastic volatility specification matter?," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 225(3), pages 429-442.
    3. Jean-Philippe Aguilar & Cyril Coste & Jan Korbel, 2017. "Series representation of the pricing formula for the European option driven by space-time fractional diffusion," Papers 1712.04990, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
    4. Wei, Yu, 2012. "Forecasting volatility of fuel oil futures in China: GARCH-type, SV or realized volatility models?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(22), pages 5546-5556.
    5. D’Amico, Guglielmo & Scocchera, Stefania & Storchi, Loriano, 2018. "Financial risk distribution in European Union," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 505(C), pages 252-267.

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