IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/intfor/v23y2007i3p513-529.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Forecasting and analyzing insurance companies' ratings

Author

Listed:
  • Van Gestel, Tony
  • Martens, David
  • Baesens, Bart
  • Feremans, Daniel
  • Huysmans, Johan
  • Vanthienen, Jan

Abstract

No abstract is available for this item.

Suggested Citation

  • Van Gestel, Tony & Martens, David & Baesens, Bart & Feremans, Daniel & Huysmans, Johan & Vanthienen, Jan, 2007. "Forecasting and analyzing insurance companies' ratings," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 513-529.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:3:p:513-529
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169-2070(07)00045-3
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. B Baesens & T Van Gestel & S Viaene & M Stepanova & J Suykens & J Vanthienen, 2003. "Benchmarking state-of-the-art classification algorithms for credit scoring," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 54(6), pages 627-635, June.
    2. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis And The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(4), pages 589-609, September.
    3. Edward I. Altman, 1968. "The Prediction Of Corporate Bankruptcy: A Discriminant Analysis," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(1), pages 193-194, March.
    4. Ohlson, Ja, 1980. "Financial Ratios And The Probabilistic Prediction Of Bankruptcy," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(1), pages 109-131.
    5. Rosch, Daniel, 2005. "An empirical comparison of default risk forecasts from alternative credit rating philosophies," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 37-51.
    6. Grunert, Jens & Norden, Lars & Weber, Martin, 2005. "The role of non-financial factors in internal credit ratings," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 509-531, February.
    7. Altman, Edward I. & Rijken, Herbert A., 2004. "How rating agencies achieve rating stability," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(11), pages 2679-2714, November.
    8. Horrigan, Jo, 1966. "Determination Of Long-Term Credit Standing With Financial Ratios," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4, pages 44-62.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Carrizosa, Emilio & Martín-Barragán, Belén & Morales, Dolores Romero, 2011. "Detecting relevant variables and interactions in supervised classification," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 260-269, August.
    2. Patrycja Klusak & Matthew Agarwala & Matt Burke & Moritz Kraemer & Kamiar Mohaddes, 2023. "Rising Temperatures, Falling Ratings: The Effect of Climate Change on Sovereign Creditworthiness," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(12), pages 7468-7491, December.
    3. I. Albarrán & P. Alonso-González & J. M. Marin, 2017. "Some criticism to a general model in Solvency II: an explanation from a clustering point of view," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1289-1308, June.
    4. TOBBACK, Ellen & MARTENS, David & VAN GESTEL, Tony & BAESENS, Bart, 2012. "Forecasting loss given default models: Impact of account characteristics and the macroeconomic state," Working Papers 2012019, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    5. Loterman, Gert & Brown, Iain & Martens, David & Mues, Christophe & Baesens, Bart, 2012. "Benchmarking regression algorithms for loss given default modeling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 161-170.
    6. Albarrán Lozano, Irene & Marín Díazaraque, Juan Miguel & Alonso, Pablo J., 2011. "Why using a general model in Solvency II is not a good idea : an explanation from a Bayesian point of view," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws113729, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    7. E Lima & C Mues & B Baesens, 2009. "Domain knowledge integration in data mining using decision tables: case studies in churn prediction," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(8), pages 1096-1106, August.
    8. Mizen, Paul & Tsoukas, Serafeim, 2012. "Forecasting US bond default ratings allowing for previous and initial state dependence in an ordered probit model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 273-287.
    9. Martin-Barragan, Belen & Lillo, Rosa & Romo, Juan, 2014. "Interpretable support vector machines for functional data," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 146-155.
    10. Ellen Tobback & David Martens & Tony Van Gestel & Bart Baesens, 2014. "Forecasting Loss Given Default models: impact of account characteristics and the macroeconomic state," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 65(3), pages 376-392, March.
    11. Barry Sheehan & Christian Humberg & Darren Shannon & Michael Fortmann & Stefan Materne, 2023. "Diversification and Solvency II: the capital effect of portfolio swaps on non-life insurers," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 48(4), pages 872-905, October.
    12. Kerem Tuzcuoglu, 2019. "Composite Likelihood Estimation of an Autoregressive Panel Probit Model with Random Effects," Staff Working Papers 19-16, Bank of Canada.
    13. Abhijit Sharma & Diara Md. Jadi & Damian Ward, 2021. "Analysing the determinants of financial performance for UK insurance companies using financial strength ratings information," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 683-697, August.
    14. G Castermans & D Martens & T Van Gestel & B Hamers & B Baesens, 2010. "An overview and framework for PD backtesting and benchmarking," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(3), pages 359-373, March.
    15. Lenka PÅ™eÄ ková & Iveta PaleÄ ková, 2023. "Financial Stability of the Czech Insurance Companies," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 71(1), pages 65-86, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yukiko Konno & Yuki Itoh, 2016. "An alternative to the standardized approach for assessing credit risk under the Basel Accords," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1220119-122, December.
    2. Van Laere, Elisabeth & Baesens, Bart, 2010. "The development of a simple and intuitive rating system under Solvency II," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 500-510, June.
    3. Chiara Pederzoli & Grid Thoma & Costanza Torricelli, 2013. "Modelling Credit Risk for Innovative SMEs: the Role of Innovation Measures," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 44(1), pages 111-129, August.
    4. Casado Yusta, Silvia & Nœ–ez Letamendía, Laura & Pacheco Bonrostro, Joaqu’n Antonio, 2018. "Predicting Corporate Failure: The GRASP-LOGIT Model || Predicci—n de la quiebra empresarial: el modelo GRASP-LOGIT," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 26(1), pages 294-314, Diciembre.
    5. Hang Luo & Linfeng Chen, 2019. "Bond yield and credit rating: evidence of Chinese local government financing vehicles," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 737-758, April.
    6. Martin Kukuk & Michael Rönnberg, 2013. "Corporate credit default models: a mixed logit approach," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 40(3), pages 467-483, April.
    7. Vladislav V. Afanasev & Yulia A. Tarasova, 2022. "Default Prediction for Housing and Utilities Management Firms Using Non-Financial Data," Finansovyj žhurnal — Financial Journal, Financial Research Institute, Moscow 125375, Russia, issue 6, pages 91-110, December.
    8. Elisa Ughetto & Andrea Vezzulli, 2011. "What role can mutual guarantee consortia play for financing innovation? A firm-level study for Italy," International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 3(4), pages 294-319.
    9. Peresetsky, A. A., 2011. "What factors drive the Russian banks license withdrawal," MPRA Paper 41507, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Anatoly Peresetsky & Alexandr Karminsky & Sergei Golovan, 2011. "Probability of default models of Russian banks," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 297-334, November.
    11. Gestel, Tony Van & Baesens, Bart & Suykens, Johan A.K. & Van den Poel, Dirk & Baestaens, Dirk-Emma & Willekens, Marleen, 2006. "Bayesian kernel based classification for financial distress detection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 172(3), pages 979-1003, August.
    12. Jairaj Gupta & Nicholas Wilson & Andros Gregoriou & Jerome Healy, 2014. "The value of operating cash flow in modelling credit risk for SMEs," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(9), pages 649-660, May.
    13. Mizen, Paul & Tsoukas, Serafeim, 2012. "Forecasting US bond default ratings allowing for previous and initial state dependence in an ordered probit model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 273-287.
    14. Zhichao Luo & Pingyu Hsu & Ni Xu, 2020. "SME Default Prediction Framework with the Effective Use of External Public Credit Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-18, September.
    15. Koen W. de Bock, 2017. "The best of two worlds: Balancing model strength and comprehensibility in business failure prediction using spline-rule ensembles," Post-Print hal-01588059, HAL.
    16. Gupta, Jairaj & Wilson, Nicholas & Gregoriou, Andros & Healy, Jerome, 2014. "The effect of internationalisation on modelling credit risk for SMEs: Evidence from UK market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 397-413.
    17. Qi, Min & Zhang, Xiaofei & Zhao, Xinlei, 2014. "Unobserved systematic risk factor and default prediction," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 216-227.
    18. Psillaki, Maria & Tsolas, Ioannis E. & Margaritis, Dimitris, 2010. "Evaluation of credit risk based on firm performance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 873-881, March.
    19. Sueyoshi, Toshiyuki & Goto, Mika, 2009. "DEA-DA for bankruptcy-based performance assessment: Misclassification analysis of Japanese construction industry," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 199(2), pages 576-594, December.
    20. Stefania Vignini & Tiziana De Cristofaro, 2018. "Impatto della crisi economica su redditivit? e rischio finanziario delle imprese romagnole. Una cluster analysis," MANAGEMENT CONTROL, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2018(3), pages 157-181.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:3:p:513-529. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/ijforecast .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.