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Seeking sigma: Time-of-the-day effects on the Bitcoin network

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  • Jahanshahloo, Hossein
  • Corbet, Shaen
  • Oxley, Les

Abstract

This research investigates and tests for the presence of time-of-the-day effects on the Bitcoin network. Results indicate that NYSE trading sessions lead Bitcoin trading activity, both on the blockchain and centralised exchanges. Effects are found to have strengthened over time, however, simultaneously diminished at the weekend indicating significant exchange interactions, and that Bitcoin has developed somewhat outside its intended design parameters and is influenced by other forces such as those originating from NYSE trading. While proponents consider Bitcoin trading to be ‘24/7’, our findings suggest that both transaction and on-chain network activity are best described to be, at best, ‘12/5’, presenting significant implications for traders, with regards to centralised exchange liquidity and the speed of their transaction inclusion on the blockchain. Finally, the role and influence of both algorithm and volatility traders cannot be eliminated.

Suggested Citation

  • Jahanshahloo, Hossein & Corbet, Shaen & Oxley, Les, 2022. "Seeking sigma: Time-of-the-day effects on the Bitcoin network," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:49:y:2022:i:c:s1544612322003269
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2022.103101
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    References listed on IDEAS

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