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Exploring the hedge and safe haven properties of cryptocurrency in policy uncertainty

Author

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  • Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar
  • Hassan, M. Kabir
  • Karim, Zulkefly Abdul
  • Rashid, Md. Mamunur

Abstract

We analyze the cryptocurrency policy uncertainty (UCRY Policy) effect on gold, Bitcoin, the US dollar, DJ Islamic Index, Sukuk, and WTI returns. Using Ordinary Least Square, Quantile regression, and Quantile-on-Quantile regression approaches, we find that Bitcoin, the US dollar, and WTI returns are negatively impacted by UCRY Policy during the bearish and bullish states, suggesting their failure to act as a hedge or safe-haven asset. Conversely, UCRY Policy positively impacts gold, DJ Islamic Index, and Sukuk returns, highlighting their potential to function as a hedge or safe-haven asset. Gold serves the same role during highly uncertain times.

Suggested Citation

  • Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Hassan, M. Kabir & Karim, Zulkefly Abdul & Rashid, Md. Mamunur, 2022. "Exploring the hedge and safe haven properties of cryptocurrency in policy uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:46:y:2022:i:pa:s1544612321003147
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102272
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    Cited by:

    1. Jens Klose, 2022. "Comparing cryptocurrencies and gold - a system-GARCH-approach," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(4), pages 653-679, December.
    2. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Kong, Xiao-Lin & Baltas, Konstantinos & Zureigat, Qasim, 2022. "Past, present, and future of the application of machine learning in cryptocurrency research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    3. Inzamam Ul Haq, 2023. "Time‐frequency comovement among green financial assets and cryptocurrency uncertainties," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 52(1), February.
    4. Xia, Yufei & Shi, Zhengxu & Du, Xiaoying & Niu, Mengyi & Cai, Rongjiang, 2023. "Can green assets hedge against economic policy uncertainty? Evidence from China with portfolio implications," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
    5. Ruzita Abdul-Rahim & Airil Khalid & Zulkefly Abdul Karim & Mamunur Rashid, 2022. "Exploring the Driving Forces of Stock-Cryptocurrency Comovements during COVID-19 Pandemic: An Analysis Using Wavelet Coherence and Seemingly Unrelated Regression," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-19, June.
    6. Rasoul Amirzadeh & Asef Nazari & Dhananjay Thiruvady & Mong Shan Ee, 2023. "Modelling Determinants of Cryptocurrency Prices: A Bayesian Network Approach," Papers 2303.16148, arXiv.org.
    7. Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Ali, Md. Sumon & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Mahi, Masnun Al & Liu, Yang & Park, Donghyun, 2022. "Is Bangladesh on the right path toward sustainable development? An empirical exploration of energy sources, economic growth, and CO2 discharges nexus," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    8. Yousaf, Imran & Goodell, John W., 2023. "Linkages between CBDC and cryptocurrency uncertainties, and digital payment stocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    9. Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Kabir Hassan, M. & Gider, Zeynullah & Tahsin Rafia, Humaira & Rashid, Mamunur, 2023. "Searching hedging instruments against diverse global risks and uncertainties," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    10. Al-Nassar, Nassar S. & Boubaker, Sabri & Chaibi, Anis & Makram, Beljid, 2023. "In search of hedges and safe havens during the COVID─19 pandemic: Gold versus Bitcoin, oil, and oil uncertainty," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 318-332.
    11. Liu, Rongyan & He, Lingyun & Xia, Yufei & Fu, Yating & Chen, Ling, 2023. "Research on the time-varying effects among green finance markets in China: A fresh evidence from multi-frequency scale perspective," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    12. Anwer, Zaheer & Farid, Saqib & Khan, Ashraf & Benlagha, Noureddine, 2023. "Cryptocurrencies versus environmentally sustainable assets: Does a perfect hedge exist?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 418-431.
    13. Choudhury, Tonmoy & Kinateder, Harald & Neupane, Biwesh, 2022. "Gold, bonds, and epidemics: A safe haven study," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    14. Inzamam UI Haq & Elie Bouri, 2022. "Sustainable versus Conventional Cryptocurrencies in the Face of Cryptocurrency Uncertainty Indices: An Analysis across Time and Scales," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-16, September.
    15. Ştefan Cristian Gherghina & Liliana Nicoleta Simionescu, 2023. "Exploring the asymmetric effect of COVID-19 pandemic news on the cryptocurrency market: evidence from nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag approach and frequency domain causality," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-58, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cryptocurrency policy uncertainty; Hedge; Safe-haven; Quantile-on-Quantile;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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