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Bitcoin volatility, stock market and investor sentiment. Are they connected?

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  • López-Cabarcos, M. Ángeles
  • Pérez-Pico, Ada M.
  • Piñeiro-Chousa, Juan
  • Šević, Aleksandar

Abstract

Bitcoin is the cryptocurrency with the largest market capitalization, and many studies have examined its role in financial markets. In this manuscript, we contribute to the extant body of knowledge by analyzing the Bitcoin behavior and the effect that investor sentiment, S&P 500 returns, and VIX returns have on Bitcoin volatility using GARCH and EGARCH models. The results suggest that Bitcoin volatility is more unstable in speculative periods. In stable periods, S&P 500 returns, VIX returns, and sentiment influence Bitcoin volatility.

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  • López-Cabarcos, M. Ángeles & Pérez-Pico, Ada M. & Piñeiro-Chousa, Juan & Šević, Aleksandar, 2021. "Bitcoin volatility, stock market and investor sentiment. Are they connected?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:38:y:2021:i:c:s1544612319309274
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.101399
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    8. Mingzhe Wei & Georgios Sermpinis & Charalampos Stasinakis, 2023. "Forecasting and trading Bitcoin with machine learning techniques and a hybrid volatility/sentiment leverage," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 852-871, July.
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    14. Piñeiro-Chousa, Juan & López-Cabarcos, M. Ángeles & Sevic, Aleksandar & González-López, Isaac, 2022. "A preliminary assessment of the performance of DeFi cryptocurrencies in relation to other financial assets, volatility, and user-generated content," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
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    18. Caner Ozdurak & Alican Umut & Tugba Ozay, 2022. "The Interaction of Major Crypto-assets, Clean Energy, and Technology Indices in Diversified Portfolios," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 480-490, March.

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    Keywords

    Bitcoin; S&P500; Social network sentiment; VIX;
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