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A three-factor pricing model for cryptocurrencies

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  • Shen, Dehua
  • Urquhart, Andrew
  • Wang, Pengfei

Abstract

We propose a simple three-factor pricing model, consisting of market, size and reversal factors, to model more than 1700 cryptocurrencies over the sample period from April 2013 to March 2019. We find that small cryptocurrencies have a tendency to obtain higher returns and that the reversal returns also increase from larger to smaller cryptocurrencies. Our three-factor pricing model strongly outperforms the cryptocurrency-CAPM model and its performance is robust to different factor constructions.

Suggested Citation

  • Shen, Dehua & Urquhart, Andrew & Wang, Pengfei, 2020. "A three-factor pricing model for cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:34:y:2020:i:c:s1544612319304519
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.07.021
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Victoria Dobrynskaya & Mikhail Dubrovskiy, 2022. "Cryptocurrencies Meet Equities: Risk Factors And Asset Pricing Relationships," HSE Working papers WP BRP 86/FE/2022, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    2. Zaremba, Adam & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin & Long, Huaigang & Mercik, Aleksander & Szczygielski, Jan J., 2021. "Up or down? Short-term reversal, momentum, and liquidity effects in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Aharon, David Y. & Demir, Ender & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Zaremba, Adam, 2022. "Twitter-Based uncertainty and cryptocurrency returns," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    4. Grobys, Klaus & Junttila, Juha, 2021. "Speculation and lottery-like demand in cryptocurrency markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Milan Fičura, 2023. "Impact of size and volume on cryptocurrency momentum and reversal," FFA Working Papers 5.003, Prague University of Economics and Business, revised 05 Apr 2023.
    6. Liebi, Luca J., 2022. "Is there a value premium in cryptoasset markets?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    7. Urquhart, Andrew, 2022. "Under the hood of the Ethereum blockchain," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    8. Long, Huaigang & Demir, Ender & Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Zaremba, Adam & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2022. "Is geopolitical risk priced in the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    9. Jia, Boxiang & Goodell, John W. & Shen, Dehua, 2022. "Momentum or reversal: Which is the appropriate third factor for cryptocurrencies?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    10. Simon Hediger & Jeffrey Näf & Marc S. Paolella & Paweł Polak, 2023. "Heterogeneous tail generalized common factor modeling," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 389-420, June.
    11. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Ahmad, Tanveer & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr, 2022. "Extreme tail network analysis of cryptocurrencies and trading strategies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    12. Łęt Blanka & Sobański Konrad & Świder Wojciech & Włosik Katarzyna, 2022. "Is the cryptocurrency market efficient? Evidence from an analysis of fundamental factors for Bitcoin and Ethereum," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 58(4), pages 351-370, December.
    13. Chen, Rongxin & Lepori, Gabriele M. & Tai, Chung-Ching & Sung, Ming-Chien, 2022. "Explaining cryptocurrency returns: A prospect theory perspective," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Wang, Qiyu & Chong, Terence Tai-Leung, 2021. "Factor pricing of cryptocurrencies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    15. Tomé Lima & Helder Sebastião, 2023. "Native Market Factors for Pricing Cryptocurrencies," Notas Económicas, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra, issue 57, pages 71-85, December.
    16. Grobys, Klaus, 2021. "What do we know about the second moment of financial markets?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    17. Chen, Rongxin & Lepori, Gabriele M. & Tai, Chung-Ching & Sung, Ming-Chien, 2022. "Can salience theory explain investor behaviour? Real-world evidence from the cryptocurrency market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    18. Frankovic, Jozo & Liu, Bin & Suardi, Sandy, 2022. "On spillover effects between cryptocurrency-linked stocks and the cryptocurrency market: Evidence from Australia," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    19. Élise Alfieri & Yann Ferrat, 2022. "The larger compensation for miners, the higher positive effect on the financial performance of cryptocurrencies [Une meilleure rémunération des mineurs : un effet positif sur la performance financi," Post-Print hal-03670074, HAL.
    20. Huynh, Nhan & Phan, Hoa, 2023. "Emotions in the crypto market: Do photos really speak?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    21. Wang, Chen & Shen, Dehua & Li, Youwei, 2022. "Aggregate Investor Attention and Bitcoin Return: The Long Short-term Memory Networks Perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cryptocurrency; Asset pricing; Factors model; Size; Returns reversal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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