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Enhanced group method of data handling (GMDH) for permeability prediction based on the modified Levenberg Marquardt technique from well log data

Author

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  • Mulashani, Alvin K.
  • Shen, Chuanbo
  • Nkurlu, Baraka M.
  • Mkono, Christopher N.
  • Kawamala, Martin

Abstract

Permeability is the key variable for reservoir characterization used for estimating the flow patterns and volume of hydrocarbons. Modern computer advancement has highlighted the use of machine learning approaches such as group method of data handling (GMDH) in predicting permeability. However, the widely employed GMDH has intrinsic problems in its application. Therefore, the objective of this study is to present an enhanced GMDH based modified Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) as an improved alternative to conventional GMDH in predicting permeability from well logs. The study used natural gamma-ray, standard resolution formation density, limited effective porosity, shale volume of rock, and thermal neutron porosity well logs as input variables. Results show that an enhanced method has a reasonable reduction in processing time with high accuracy. Compared to conventional GMDH and backpropagation neural networks (BPNN), the GMDH-LM used 30% less computation time and performed excellently during training with the least error values of 0.092 and 0.018 for RMSE and MAE. Likewise, good results were observed during testing, obtaining the least error values of 0.679 and 0.056 for RMSE and MAE respectively. The modified generalization performance of GMDH-LM makes it an improved form of GMDH and can be adopted as an improved alternative in predicting permeability.

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  • Mulashani, Alvin K. & Shen, Chuanbo & Nkurlu, Baraka M. & Mkono, Christopher N. & Kawamala, Martin, 2022. "Enhanced group method of data handling (GMDH) for permeability prediction based on the modified Levenberg Marquardt technique from well log data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:239:y:2022:i:pa:s0360544221021630
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.121915
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Manuel Cantavella, 2020. "Fluctuations of Oil Prices and Gross Domestic Product in Spain," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 57-63.
    2. Solomon Asante-Okyere & Chuanbo Shen & Yao Yevenyo Ziggah & Mercy Moses Rulegeya & Xiangfeng Zhu, 2018. "Investigating the Predictive Performance of Gaussian Process Regression in Evaluating Reservoir Porosity and Permeability," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-13, November.
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    5. Baraka Mathew Nkurlu & Chuanbo Shen & Solomon Asante-Okyere & Alvin K. Mulashani & Jacqueline Chungu & Liang Wang, 2020. "Prediction of Permeability Using Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) Neural Network from Well Log Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-18, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Jun & Cao, Junxing & Fu, Jingcheng & Xu, Hanqing, 2022. "Missing well logs prediction using deep learning integrated neural network with the self-attention mechanism," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    2. Youzhuang Sun & Junhua Zhang & Zhengjun Yu & Zhen Liu & Pengbo Yin, 2022. "WOA (Whale Optimization Algorithm) Optimizes Elman Neural Network Model to Predict Porosity Value in Well Logging Curve," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-14, June.
    3. Mkono, Christopher N. & Chuanbo, Shen & Mulashani, Alvin K. & Mwakipunda, Grant Charles, 2023. "Deep learning integrated approach for hydrocarbon source rock evaluation and geochemical indicators prediction in the Jurassic - Paleogene of the Mandawa basin, SE Tanzania," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).

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