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Optimal management of defined contribution pension funds under the effect of inflation, mortality and uncertainty

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  • Baltas, I.
  • Dopierala, L.
  • Kolodziejczyk, K.
  • Szczepański, M.
  • Weber, G.-W.
  • Yannacopoulos, A.N.

Abstract

In the present work, we study the problem of optimal management of defined contribution pension funds, during the distribution phase, under the effect of inflation, mortality and model uncertainty. More precisely, we consider a class of employees, who, at the time of retirement, enter a life assurance contract with the same insurance firm. The fund manager of the firm collects the entry fees to a portfolio savings account and this wealth is to be invested optimally in a Black–Scholes type financial market. As such schemes usually last for many years, we extend our framework, by: (i) augmenting the financial market with an inflation-adjusted bond, and, (ii) taking into account mortality of the fund members. Model uncertainty aspects are introduced as the fund manager does not fully trust the model he/she faces. By resorting to robust control and dynamic programming techniques, we provide: (a) closed-form solutions for the case of the exponential utility function, (b) a detailed study of the qualitative features of the problem at hand that elucidates the effect of robustness and inflation on the optimal investment decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Baltas, I. & Dopierala, L. & Kolodziejczyk, K. & Szczepański, M. & Weber, G.-W. & Yannacopoulos, A.N., 2022. "Optimal management of defined contribution pension funds under the effect of inflation, mortality and uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(3), pages 1162-1174.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:298:y:2022:i:3:p:1162-1174
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2021.08.038
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    2. Pengyu Wei & Charles Yang, 2023. "Optimal investment for defined-contribution pension plans under money illusion," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 729-753, August.
    3. Chen, Zheng & Li, Zhongfei & Zeng, Yan, 2023. "Portfolio choice with illiquid asset for a loss-averse pension fund investor," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 60-83.
    4. Manli Ban & Hua He & Xiaoqing Liang, 2022. "Optimal Investment Strategy for DC Pension Schemes under Partial Information," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-20, November.
    5. Guan, Guohui & Liang, Zongxia & Xia, Yi, 2023. "Optimal management of DC pension fund under the relative performance ratio and VaR constraint," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 305(2), pages 868-886.
    6. Georgios I. Papayiannis, 2022. "Robust Policy Selection and Harvest Risk Quantification for Natural Resources Management under Model Uncertainty," Papers 2202.05326, arXiv.org.

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