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A defaultable HJM modelling of the Libor rate for pricing Basis Swaps after the credit crunch

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  • Fanelli, Viviana

Abstract

A great deal of recent literature discusses the major anomalies that have appeared in the interest rate market following the credit crunch in August 2007. There were major consequences with regard to the development of spreads between quantities that had remained the same until then. In particular, we consider the spread that opened up between the Libor rate and the OIS rate, and the consequent empirical evidence that FRA rates can no longer be replicated using Libor spot rates due to the presence of a Basis spread between floating legs of different tenors. We develop a credit risk model for pricing Basis Swaps in a multi-curve setup. The Libor rate is considered here as a risky rate, subject to the credit risk of a generic counterparty whose credit quality is refreshed at each fixing date. A defaultable HJM methodology is used to model the term structure of the credit spread, defined through the implied default intensity of the contributing banks of the Libor corresponding to a chosen tenor. A forward credit spread volatility function depending on the entire credit spread term structure is assumed. In this context, we implement the model and obtain the price of Basis Swaps using a numerical scheme based on the Euler–Maruyama stochastic integral approximation and the Monte Carlo method.

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  • Fanelli, Viviana, 2016. "A defaultable HJM modelling of the Libor rate for pricing Basis Swaps after the credit crunch," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(1), pages 238-244.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:249:y:2016:i:1:p:238-244
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2015.08.031
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chiarella, Carl & Fanelli, Viviana & Musti, Silvana, 2011. "Modelling the evolution of credit spreads using the Cox process within the HJM framework: A CDS option pricing model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 95-108, January.
    2. David Heath & Robert Jarrow & Andrew Morton, 2008. "Bond Pricing And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A New Methodology For Contingent Claims Valuation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 13, pages 277-305, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Miltersen, Kristian R & Sandmann, Klaus & Sondermann, Dieter, 1997. "Closed Form Solutions for Term Structure Derivatives with Log-Normal Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 409-430, March.
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    5. Carl Chiarella & Samuel Chege Maina & Christina Nikitopoulos Sklibosios, 2013. "Credit Derivatives Pricing With Stochastic Volatility Models," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 16(04), pages 1-28.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fanelli, Viviana & Maddalena, Lucia & Musti, Silvana, 2016. "Modelling electricity futures prices using seasonal path-dependent volatility," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 92-102.
    2. Brigo, Damiano & Francischello, Marco & Pallavicini, Andrea, 2019. "Nonlinear valuation under credit, funding, and margins: Existence, uniqueness, invariance, and disentanglement," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 274(2), pages 788-805.
    3. Atkins, Philip J. & Cummins, Mark, 2023. "Improved scalability and risk factor proxying with a two-step principal component analysis for multi-curve modelling," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(3), pages 1331-1348.
    4. Chen Xiao & Yi Zhang & Zongfei Fu, 2016. "Valuing Interest Rate Swap Contracts in Uncertain Financial Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-10, November.
    5. Ballotta, Laura & Fusai, Gianluca & Marazzina, Daniele, 2019. "Integrated structural approach to Credit Value Adjustment," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 272(3), pages 1143-1157.
    6. Fanelli, Viviana, 2017. "Implications of implicit credit spread volatilities on interest rate modelling," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 263(2), pages 707-718.
    7. Cheikh Mbaye & Fr'ed'eric Vrins, 2019. "An arbitrage-free conic martingale model with application to credit risk," Papers 1909.02474, arXiv.org.
    8. Nikolaos Karouzakis & John Hatgioannides & Kostas Andriosopoulos, 2018. "Convexity adjustment for constant maturity swaps in a multi-curve framework," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 159-181, July.

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