IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v222y2011i13p2130-2141.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Incorporating classified dispersal assumptions in predictive distribution models – A case study with grasshoppers and bush-crickets

Author

Listed:
  • Buse, Jörn
  • Griebeler, Eva Maria

Abstract

Current and future species distributions depend on environmental conditions, but the ability of species to shift their range boundaries or to expand their distribution ranges in response to global change also depends on their dispersal capacity. Dispersal capacity, however, has often been neglected in previous studies that either assumed no-dispersal or full dispersal, both of which are unrealistic for most taxa. The aims of this study are (i) to identify the predictors of the present spatial distribution on a regional scale for 13 grasshoppers and bush-crickets, and (ii) to derive predictions of their future distributions under climate change by applying different dispersal capacity classes for different mobile species.

Suggested Citation

  • Buse, Jörn & Griebeler, Eva Maria, 2011. "Incorporating classified dispersal assumptions in predictive distribution models – A case study with grasshoppers and bush-crickets," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(13), pages 2130-2141.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:222:y:2011:i:13:p:2130-2141
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.04.010
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380011002183
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.04.010?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. A. Townsend Peterson & Miguel A. Ortega-Huerta & Jeremy Bartley & Victor Sánchez-Cordero & Jorge Soberón & Robert H. Buddemeier & David R. B. Stockwell, 2002. "Future projections for Mexican faunas under global climate change scenarios," Nature, Nature, vol. 416(6881), pages 626-629, April.
    2. John Harte & Annette Ostling & Jessica L. Green & Ann Kinzig, 2004. "Climate change and extinction risk," Nature, Nature, vol. 430(6995), pages 34-34, July.
    3. Andrew J. Davis & Linda S. Jenkinson & John H. Lawton & Bryan Shorrocks & Simon Wood, 1998. "Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming," Nature, Nature, vol. 391(6669), pages 783-786, February.
    4. Chris D. Thomas & Alison Cameron & Rhys E. Green & Michel Bakkenes & Linda J. Beaumont & Yvonne C. Collingham & Barend F. N. Erasmus & Marinez Ferreira de Siqueira & Alan Grainger & Lee Hannah & Lesle, 2004. "Extinction risk from climate change," Nature, Nature, vol. 427(6970), pages 145-148, January.
    5. Nigel E. Stork, 2007. "World of insects," Nature, Nature, vol. 448(7154), pages 657-658, August.
    6. Václavík, Tomáš & Meentemeyer, Ross K., 2009. "Invasive species distribution modeling (iSDM): Are absence data and dispersal constraints needed to predict actual distributions?," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(23), pages 3248-3258.
    7. C. D. Thomas & E. J. Bodsworth & R. J. Wilson & A. D. Simmons & Z. G. Davies & M. Musche & L. Conradt, 2001. "Ecological and evolutionary processes at expanding range margins," Nature, Nature, vol. 411(6837), pages 577-581, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Singer, Alexander & Schweiger, Oliver & Kühn, Ingolf & Johst, Karin, 2018. "Constructing a hybrid species distribution model from standard large-scale distribution data," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 373(C), pages 39-52.
    2. Singer, Alexander & Johst, Karin & Banitz, Thomas & Fowler, Mike S. & Groeneveld, Jürgen & Gutiérrez, Alvaro G. & Hartig, Florian & Krug, Rainer M. & Liess, Matthias & Matlack, Glenn & Meyer, Katrin M, 2016. "Community dynamics under environmental change: How can next generation mechanistic models improve projections of species distributions?," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 326(C), pages 63-74.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Stankowski, Philippe A. & Parker, William H., 2011. "Future distribution modelling: A stitch in time is not enough," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(3), pages 567-572.
    2. Weiyu Yu & Nicola A Wardrop & Robert E S Bain & Victor Alegana & Laura J Graham & Jim A Wright, 2019. "Mapping access to domestic water supplies from incomplete data in developing countries: An illustrative assessment for Kenya," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(5), pages 1-19, May.
    3. Takuya Iwamura & Kerrie A Wilson & Oscar Venter & Hugh P Possingham, 2010. "A Climatic Stability Approach to Prioritizing Global Conservation Investments," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 5(11), pages 1-9, November.
    4. Brooks, Wesley R. & Newbold, Stephen C., 2014. "An updated biodiversity nonuse value function for use in climate change integrated assessment models," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 342-349.
    5. Chefaoui, Rosa M. & Lobo, Jorge M., 2008. "Assessing the effects of pseudo-absences on predictive distribution model performance," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 210(4), pages 478-486.
    6. Nenzén, H.K. & Araújo, M.B., 2011. "Choice of threshold alters projections of species range shifts under climate change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(18), pages 3346-3354.
    7. Ko, Chia-Ying & Root, Terry L. & Lee, Pei-Fen, 2011. "Movement distances enhance validity of predictive models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(4), pages 947-954.
    8. Anne Goodenough & Adam Hart, 2013. "Correlates of vulnerability to climate-induced distribution changes in European avifauna: habitat, migration and endemism," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 659-669, June.
    9. Wesley R. Brooks & Stephen C. Newbold, 2013. "Ecosystem damages in integrated assessment models of climate change," NCEE Working Paper Series 201302, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Mar 2013.
    10. Václavík, Tomáš & Meentemeyer, Ross K., 2009. "Invasive species distribution modeling (iSDM): Are absence data and dispersal constraints needed to predict actual distributions?," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(23), pages 3248-3258.
    11. Pearce, Joshua M. & Johnson, Sara J. & Grant, Gabriel B., 2007. "3D-mapping optimization of embodied energy of transportation," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 435-453.
    12. Henzler, Julia & Weise, Hanna & Enright, Neal J. & Zander, Susanne & Tietjen, Britta, 2018. "A squeeze in the suitable fire interval: Simulating the persistence of fire-killed plants in a Mediterranean-type ecosystem under drier conditions," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 389(C), pages 41-49.
    13. Andrew John & Avril Horne & Rory Nathan & Michael Stewardson & J. Angus Webb & Jun Wang & N. LeRoy Poff, 2021. "Climate change and freshwater ecology: Hydrological and ecological methods of comparable complexity are needed to predict risk," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(2), March.
    14. John H Matthews & Bart AJ Wickel & Sarah Freeman, 2011. "Converging Currents in Climate-Relevant Conservation: Water, Infrastructure, and Institutions," PLOS Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(9), pages 1-4, September.
    15. Brandt, Laura A. & Benscoter, Allison M. & Harvey, Rebecca & Speroterra, Carolina & Bucklin, David & Romañach, Stephanie S. & Watling, James I. & Mazzotti, Frank J., 2017. "Comparison of climate envelope models developed using expert-selected variables versus statistical selection," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 345(C), pages 10-20.
    16. Jorge Velásquez-Tibatá & María H Olaya-Rodríguez & Daniel López-Lozano & César Gutiérrez & Iván González & María C Londoño-Murcia, 2019. "BioModelos: A collaborative online system to map species distributions," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(3), pages 1-13, March.
    17. Tasmin L. Rymer & Neville Pillay & Carsten Schradin, 2013. "Extinction or Survival? Behavioral Flexibility in Response to Environmental Change in the African Striped Mouse Rhabdomys," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-24, January.
    18. Feng, Zhiying & Tang, Wenhu & Niu, Zhewen & Wu, Qinghua, 2018. "Bi-level allocation of carbon emission permits based on clustering analysis and weighted voting: A case study in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1122-1135.
    19. Alexander S Anderson & Collin J Storlie & Luke P Shoo & Richard G Pearson & Stephen E Williams, 2013. "Current Analogues of Future Climate Indicate the Likely Response of a Sensitive Montane Tropical Avifauna to a Warming World," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(7), pages 1-12, July.
    20. Di Traglia, Mario & Attorre, Fabio & Francesconi, Fabio & Valenti, Roberto & Vitale, Marcello, 2011. "Is cellular automata algorithm able to predict the future dynamical shifts of tree species in Italy under climate change scenarios? A methodological approach," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(4), pages 925-934.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:222:y:2011:i:13:p:2130-2141. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.