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Revealing the implied risk-neutral MGF from options: The wavelet method

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  • Haven, Emmanuel
  • Liu, Xiaoquan
  • Ma, Chenghu
  • Shen, Liya

Abstract

Options are believed to contain unique information on the risk-neutral moment generating function (MGF) or the risk-neutral probability density function (PDF) of the underlying asset. This paper applies the wavelet method to approximate the implied risk-neutral MGF from option prices. Monte Carlo simulations are carried out to show how the risk-neutral MGF can be obtained using the wavelet method. With the Black-Scholes model as the benchmark, we offer a novel method to reveal the implied MGF, and to price in-sample options and forecast out-of-sample option prices with the estimated MGF.

Suggested Citation

  • Haven, Emmanuel & Liu, Xiaoquan & Ma, Chenghu & Shen, Liya, 2009. "Revealing the implied risk-neutral MGF from options: The wavelet method," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 692-709, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:33:y:2009:i:3:p:692-709
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    Cited by:

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    2. Fabozzi, Frank J. & Leccadito, Arturo & Tunaru, Radu S., 2014. "Extracting market information from equity options with exponential Lévy processes," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 125-141.
    3. Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John & Gençay, Ramazan, 2018. "Long-run wavelet-based correlation for financial time series," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(2), pages 676-696.
    4. Liu, Xiaoquan & Cao, Yi & Ma, Chenghu & Shen, Liya, 2019. "Wavelet-based option pricing: An empirical study," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 272(3), pages 1132-1142.
    5. Reza Doostaki & Mohammad Mehdi Hosseini, 2022. "Option Pricing by the Legendre Wavelets Method," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(2), pages 749-773, February.
    6. Haven, Emmanuel & Liu, Xiaoquan & Shen, Liya, 2012. "De-noising option prices with the wavelet method," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 104-112.
    7. Schlögl, Erik, 2013. "Option pricing where the underlying assets follow a Gram/Charlier density of arbitrary order," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 611-632.
    8. Josep J. Masdemont & Luis Ortiz-Gracia, 2014. "Haar wavelets-based approach for quantifying credit portfolio losses," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(9), pages 1587-1595, September.

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