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Improving the reliability of bootstrap tests with the fast double bootstrap

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  • Davidson, Russell
  • MacKinnon, James G.

Abstract

Two procedures are proposed for estimating the rejection probabilities of bootstrap tests in Monte Carlo experiments without actually computing a bootstrap test for each replication. These procedures are only about twice as expensive (per replication) as estimating rejection probabilities for asymptotic tests. Then a new procedure is proposed for computing bootstrap P values that will often be more accurate than ordinary ones. This “fast double bootstrap” is closely related to the double bootstrap, but it is far less computationally demanding. Simulation results for three different cases suggest that the fast double bootstrap can be very useful in practice.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Computational Statistics & Data Analysis.

Volume (Year): 51 (2007)
Issue (Month): 7 (April)
Pages: 3259-3281

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Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:51:y:2007:i:7:p:3259-3281

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References

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  1. Sílvia Gonçalves & Lutz Kilian, 2003. "Bootstrapping Autoregressions with Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," CIRANO Working Papers 2003s-17, CIRANO.
  2. Davidson, R. & Mackinnon, J.G., 1996. "The Size Distorsion of Bootstrap Tests," G.R.E.Q.A.M. 96a15, Universite Aix-Marseille III.
  3. Omtzigt Pieter & Fachin Stefano, 2002. "Bootstrapping and Bartlett corrections in the cointegrated VAR model," Economics and Quantitative Methods qf0212, Department of Economics, University of Insubria.
  4. Davidson, R. & Mackinnon, J. G., 1995. "Bootstrap Tests of Nonnested Linear Regression Models," G.R.E.Q.A.M. 97a25, Universite Aix-Marseille III.
  5. Davidson, James, 2006. "Alternative bootstrap procedures for testing cointegration in fractionally integrated processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 741-777, August.
  6. Mackinnon, J.G. & Smith, A.A., 1996. "Approximate Bias Correction in Econometrics," G.R.E.Q.A.M. 96a14, Universite Aix-Marseille III.
  7. Davidson, Russell & MacKinnon, James G., 2006. "The power of bootstrap and asymptotic tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(2), pages 421-441, August.
  8. Russell Davidson & James G. MacKinnon, 2000. "Improving the Reliability of Bootstrap Tests," Working Papers 995, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
  9. Joon Y. Park, 2003. "Bootstrap Unit Root Tests," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(6), pages 1845-1895, November.
  10. Dufour, Jean-Marie & Khalaf, Lynda & Bernard, Jean-Thomas & Genest, Ian, 2004. "Simulation-based finite-sample tests for heteroskedasticity and ARCH effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 122(2), pages 317-347, October.
  11. James G. MacKinnon, 2006. "Applications of the Fast Double Bootstrap," Working Papers 1023, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
  12. Durbin, J, 1970. "Testing for Serial Correlation in Least-Squares Regression When Some of the Regressors are Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(3), pages 410-21, May.
  13. Godfrey, Leslie G, 1978. "Testing against General Autoregressive and Moving Average Error Models When the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1293-1301, November.
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  15. Davidson, Russell & MacKinnon, James G., 1984. "Convenient specification tests for logit and probit models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 241-262, July.
  16. Davidson, R. & Mackinnon, J.G., 1997. "Bootstrap Testing in Nonlinear Models," G.R.E.Q.A.M. 97a39, Universite Aix-Marseille III.
  17. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
  18. Russell Davidson & James MacKinnon, 2000. "Bootstrap tests: how many bootstraps?," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 55-68.
  19. James G. MacKinnon, 2002. "Bootstrap inference in econometrics," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 35(4), pages 615-645, November.
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  21. Russell Davidson & James MacKinnon, 2002. "Fast Double Bootstrap Tests Of Nonnested Linear Regression Models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(4), pages 419-429.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Ahlgren, Niklas & Antell, Jan, 2006. "Bootstrap and Fast Double Bootstrap Tests of Cointegration Rank with Financial Time Series," Working Papers 519, Hanken School of Economics.
  2. Christian Kascha & Carsten Trenkler, 2009. "Bootstrapping the likelihood ratio cointegration test in error correction models with unknown lag order," Working Paper 2009/12, Norges Bank.
  3. Patrick Richard, 2008. "Modified Fast Double Sieve Bootstraps for ADF Tests," Cahiers de recherche 08-17, Departement d'Economique de la Faculte d'administration à l'Universite de Sherbrooke.
  4. Bolduc, Denis & Khalaf, Lynda & Moyneur, Érick, 2008. "Identification-robust simulation-based inference in joint discrete/continuous models for energy markets," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(6), pages 3148-3161, February.
  5. Giacomini, Raffaella & Politis, Dimitris N. & White, Halbert, 2013. "A Warp-Speed Method For Conducting Monte Carlo Experiments Involving Bootstrap Estimators," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(03), pages 567-589, June.
  6. Vincent Bodart & Bertrand Candelon & Jean-François Carpantier, 2013. "Real exchange rates, commodity prices and structural factors in developing countries," CREA Discussion Paper Series 13-09, Center for Research in Economic Analysis, University of Luxembourg.
  7. Rachida Ouysse, 2014. "On the performance of block-bootstrap continuously updated GMM for a class of non-linear conditional moment models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 233-261, February.
  8. Frank Cowell & Emmanuel Flachaire & Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay, 2013. "Reference distributions and inequality measurement," Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 421-437, December.
  9. James G. MacKinnon, 2007. "Bootstrap Hypothesis Testing," Working Papers 1127, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
  10. Riccardo Lucchetti & Claudia Pigini, 2013. "A test for bivariate normality with applications in microeconometric models," Statistical Methods and Applications, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 535-572, November.
  11. Chiu, Sung Nok & Wang, Ling, 2009. "Homogeneity tests for several Poisson populations," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(12), pages 4266-4278, October.
  12. Sun, Yixiao & Kim, Min Seong, 2009. "k-step Bootstrap Bias Correction for Fixed Effects Estimators in Nonlinear Panel Models," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt9gn6n5mr, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
  13. Godfrey, L.G., 2007. "Alternative approaches to implementing Lagrange multiplier tests for serial correlation in dynamic regression models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 3282-3295, April.
  14. Qian, Hang, 2011. "Sampling Variation, Monotone Instrumental Variables and the Bootstrap Bias Correction," MPRA Paper 32634, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Cerrato, Mario & Sarantis, Nicholas, 2007. "A bootstrap panel unit root test under cross-sectional dependence, with an application to PPP," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(8), pages 4028-4037, May.
  16. Patrick Richard, 2007. "ARMA Sieve bootstrap unit root tests," Cahiers de recherche 07-05, Departement d'Economique de la Faculte d'administration à l'Universite de Sherbrooke, revised Jul 2009.
  17. Kleijnen, J.P.C., 2006. "White Noise Assumptions Revisited: Regression Models and Statistical Designs for Simulation Practice," Discussion Paper 2006-50, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
  18. Seojeong Lee, 2014. "Asymptotic Refinements of a Misspecification-Robust Bootstrap for GEL Estimators," Discussion Papers 2014-02, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.

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