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Bias reduction in the population size estimation of large data sets

Author

Listed:
  • Chu, Jeffrey
  • Zhang, Yuanyuan
  • Chan, Stephen
  • Nadarajah, Saralees

Abstract

Estimation of the population size of large data sets and hard to reach populations can be a significant problem. For example, in the military, manpower is limited and the manual processing of large data sets can be time consuming. In addition, accessing the full population of data may be restricted by factors such as cost, time, and safety. Four new population size estimators are proposed, as extensions of existing methods, and their performances are compared in terms of bias with two existing methods in the big data literature. These would be particularly beneficial in the context of time-critical decisions or actions. The comparison is based on a simulation study and the application to five real network data sets (Twitter, LiveJournal, Pokec, Youtube, Wikipedia Talk). Whilst no single estimator (out of the four proposed) generates the most accurate estimates overall, the proposed estimators are shown to produce more accurate population size estimates for small sample sizes, but in some cases show more variability than existing estimators in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Chu, Jeffrey & Zhang, Yuanyuan & Chan, Stephen & Nadarajah, Saralees, 2020. "Bias reduction in the population size estimation of large data sets," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:145:y:2020:i:c:s0167947320300050
    DOI: 10.1016/j.csda.2020.106914
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yuanyuan Zhang & Saralees Nadarajah, 2017. "Flexible Heavy Tailed Distributions for Big Data," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 4(3), pages 421-432, September.
    2. Zaman, Asad, 1981. "Estimators without moments : The case of the reciprocal of a normal mean," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 289-298, February.
    3. Forrest W. Crawford & Jiacheng Wu & Robert Heimer, 2018. "Hidden Population Size Estimation From Respondent-Driven Sampling: A Network Approach," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(522), pages 755-766, April.
    4. Boginski, Vladimir & Butenko, Sergiy & Pardalos, Panos M., 2005. "Statistical analysis of financial networks," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 431-443, February.
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