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A hybrid building thermal modeling approach for predicting temperatures in typical, detached, two-story houses

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  • Cui, Borui
  • Fan, Cheng
  • Munk, Jeffrey
  • Mao, Ning
  • Xiao, Fu
  • Dong, Jin
  • Kuruganti, Teja

Abstract

Within the residential building sector, the air-conditioning (AC) load is the main target for peak load shifting and reduction since it is the largest contributor to peak demand. By leveraging its power flexibility, residential AC is a good candidate to provide building demand response and peak load shifting. For realization of accurate and reliable control of AC loads, a building thermal model, which characterizes the properties of a building’s envelope and its thermal mass, is an essential component for accurate indoor temperature or cooling/heating demand prediction. Building thermal models include two types: “Forward” and “Data-Driven”. Due to time-saving and cost-effective characteristics, different data-driven models have been developed in a number of research studies. However, few developed models can predict temperatures in respective zones of a multiple-zone building with an open air path between zones e.g., an open stairwell connecting two floors of a home. In this research, a novel hybrid modeling approach is proposed to predict the average indoor air temperatures of both the upstairs and downstairs. This “hybrid” solution integrates both gray-box, i.e. RC model and black-box models. A developed RC model is used to predict the building mean temperature, and black-box model, in which the supervised machine learning algorithms are leveraged, is used to predict the temperature difference between the downstairs and upstairs. Compared with the measured data from a real house, the results obtained have acceptable/satisfactory accuracy. The method proposed in this study integrates the advantages of black-box and gray-box modeling. It can be used as a reliable alternative to predict the average temperatures in respective floors of typical detached two-story houses.

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  • Cui, Borui & Fan, Cheng & Munk, Jeffrey & Mao, Ning & Xiao, Fu & Dong, Jin & Kuruganti, Teja, 2019. "A hybrid building thermal modeling approach for predicting temperatures in typical, detached, two-story houses," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 101-116.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:236:y:2019:i:c:p:101-116
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.11.077
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    8. Zhang, Xu & Sun, Yongjun & Gao, Dian-ce & Zou, Wenke & Fu, Jianping & Ma, Xiaowen, 2022. "Similarity-based grouping method for evaluation and optimization of dataset structure in machine-learning based short-term building cooling load prediction without measurable occupancy information," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    9. Lara Ramadan & Isam Shahrour & Hussein Mroueh & Fadi Hage Chehade, 2021. "Use of Machine Learning Methods for Indoor Temperature Forecasting," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-18, September.
    10. Yiling Zhang & Jin Dong, 2022. "Building Load Control Using Distributionally Robust Chance-Constrained Programs with Right-Hand Side Uncertainty and the Risk-Adjustable Variants," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 34(3), pages 1531-1547, May.
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