IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v183y2016icp805-822.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A system-of-systems framework for the reliability analysis of distributed generation systems accounting for the impact of degraded communication networks

Author

Listed:
  • Mo, Hua-Dong
  • Li, Yan-Fu
  • Zio, Enrico

Abstract

Distributed generation (DG) systems install communication networks for managing real-time energy imbalance. Different from previous research, which typically assumes perfect communication networks, this work aims to quantitatively account for the impact of degraded communication networks on DG systems performance. The degraded behavior of communication networks is modeled by stochastic continuous time transmission delays and packet dropouts. On the DG systems side, we consider the inherent uncertainties of renewable energy sources, loads and energy prices. We develop a Monte Carlo simulation-optimal power flow (MCS-OPF) computational framework that is capable of generating consecutive time-dependent operating scenarios of the integrated system. Quantitative analysis is carried out to measure the impact of communication networks degradation onto the DG systems. For illustration, the framework is applied to a modified IEEE 13 nodes test feeder. The results demonstrate that the degraded communication networks can significantly deteriorate the performance of the integrated system. A grey differential model-based prediction method for reconstructing missing data is effective in mitigating the influence of the degraded communication networks.

Suggested Citation

  • Mo, Hua-Dong & Li, Yan-Fu & Zio, Enrico, 2016. "A system-of-systems framework for the reliability analysis of distributed generation systems accounting for the impact of degraded communication networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 805-822.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:183:y:2016:i:c:p:805-822
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.09.041
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261916313435
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.09.041?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mena, Rodrigo & Hennebel, Martin & Li, Yan-Fu & Zio, Enrico, 2014. "Self-adaptable hierarchical clustering analysis and differential evolution for optimal integration of renewable distributed generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 388-402.
    2. Li, Zhengshuo & Guo, Qinglai & Sun, Hongbin & Wang, Jianhui, 2015. "Storage-like devices in load leveling: Complementarity constraints and a new and exact relaxation method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 13-22.
    3. Pandey, Shashi Kant & Mohanty, Soumya R. & Kishor, Nand, 2013. "A literature survey on load–frequency control for conventional and distribution generation power systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 318-334.
    4. Morales, J.M. & Mínguez, R. & Conejo, A.J., 2010. "A methodology to generate statistically dependent wind speed scenarios," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 843-855, March.
    5. Verma, Anoop & Asadi, Ali & Yang, Kai & Tyagi, Satish, 2015. "A data-driven approach to identify households with plug-in electrical vehicles (PEVs)," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 71-79.
    6. Elena Arce, María & Saavedra, Ángeles & Míguez, José L. & Granada, Enrique, 2015. "The use of grey-based methods in multi-criteria decision analysis for the evaluation of sustainable energy systems: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 924-932.
    7. Enrico Zio, 2013. "The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, edition 127, number 978-1-4471-4588-2, September.
    8. Li, Yan-Fu & Zio, Enrico, 2012. "A multi-state model for the reliability assessment of a distributed generation system via universal generating function," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 28-36.
    9. Mahmud, Khizir & Town, Graham E., 2016. "A review of computer tools for modeling electric vehicle energy requirements and their impact on power distribution networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 337-359.
    10. Borges, Carmen Lucia Tancredo, 2012. "An overview of reliability models and methods for distribution systems with renewable energy distributed generation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(6), pages 4008-4015.
    11. Enrico Zio, 2013. "System Reliability and Risk Analysis by Monte Carlo Simulation," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, in: The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 59-81, Springer.
    12. Guo, Shaopeng & Li, Hailong & Zhao, Jun & Li, Xun & Yan, Jinyue, 2013. "Numerical simulation study on optimizing charging process of the direct contact mobilized thermal energy storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 1416-1423.
    13. Bahrami, Saadat & Hooshmand, Rahmat-Allah & Parastegari, Moein, 2014. "Short term electric load forecasting by wavelet transform and grey model improved by PSO (particle swarm optimization) algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 434-442.
    14. Mohammed, Y.S. & Mustafa, M.W. & Bashir, N., 2014. "Hybrid renewable energy systems for off-grid electric power: Review of substantial issues," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 527-539.
    15. Ruiz-Romero, Salvador & Colmenar-Santos, Antonio & Mur-Pérez, Francisco & López-Rey, África, 2014. "Integration of distributed generation in the power distribution network: The need for smart grid control systems, communication and equipment for a smart city — Use cases," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 223-234.
    16. Ellabban, Omar & Abu-Rub, Haitham & Blaabjerg, Frede, 2014. "Renewable energy resources: Current status, future prospects and their enabling technology," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 748-764.
    17. Luo, Xing & Wang, Jihong & Dooner, Mark & Clarke, Jonathan, 2015. "Overview of current development in electrical energy storage technologies and the application potential in power system operation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 511-536.
    18. Montoya, Francisco G. & García-Cruz, Amós & Montoya, Maria G. & Manzano-Agugliaro, Francisco, 2016. "Power quality techniques research worldwide: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 846-856.
    19. Reddy, S. Surender & Bijwe, P.R., 2015. "Real time economic dispatch considering renewable energy resources," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 1215-1226.
    20. Díaz-González, Francisco & Sumper, Andreas & Gomis-Bellmunt, Oriol & Villafáfila-Robles, Roberto, 2012. "A review of energy storage technologies for wind power applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 2154-2171.
    21. Ren, Hongbo & Zhou, Weisheng & Nakagami, Ken'ichi & Gao, Weijun & Wu, Qiong, 2010. "Multi-objective optimization for the operation of distributed energy systems considering economic and environmental aspects," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(12), pages 3642-3651, December.
    22. Enrico Zio, 2013. "Monte Carlo Simulation: The Method," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, in: The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 19-58, Springer.
    23. Zhao, Jing & Wang, Jianzhou & Su, Zhongyue, 2014. "Power generation and renewable potential in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 727-740.
    24. Kalantar, M. & Mousavi G., S.M., 2010. "Dynamic behavior of a stand-alone hybrid power generation system of wind turbine, microturbine, solar array and battery storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(10), pages 3051-3064, October.
    25. Manfren, Massimiliano & Caputo, Paola & Costa, Gaia, 2011. "Paradigm shift in urban energy systems through distributed generation: Methods and models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(4), pages 1032-1048, April.
    26. Parra, David & Norman, Stuart A. & Walker, Gavin S. & Gillott, Mark, 2016. "Optimum community energy storage system for demand load shifting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 130-143.
    27. Reddy, K.S. & Kumar, Madhusudan & Mallick, T.K. & Sharon, H. & Lokeswaran, S., 2014. "A review of Integration, Control, Communication and Metering (ICCM) of renewable energy based smart grid," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 180-192.
    28. Demirbas, Ayhan, 2009. "Political, economic and environmental impacts of biofuels: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(Supplemen), pages 108-117, November.
    29. Enrico Zio, 2013. "System Reliability and Risk Analysis," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, in: The Monte Carlo Simulation Method for System Reliability and Risk Analysis, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 7-17, Springer.
    30. Guerra, Omar J. & Tejada, Diego A. & Reklaitis, Gintaras V., 2016. "An optimization framework for the integrated planning of generation and transmission expansion in interconnected power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1-21.
    31. Foley, Aoife M. & Leahy, Paul G. & Marvuglia, Antonino & McKeogh, Eamon J., 2012. "Current methods and advances in forecasting of wind power generation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 1-8.
    32. Zhao, Junfeng & Wang, Junmin, 2013. "Control-oriented multi-phase combustion model for biodiesel fueled engines," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 92-99.
    33. Widén, Joakim & Carpman, Nicole & Castellucci, Valeria & Lingfors, David & Olauson, Jon & Remouit, Flore & Bergkvist, Mikael & Grabbe, Mårten & Waters, Rafael, 2015. "Variability assessment and forecasting of renewables: A review for solar, wind, wave and tidal resources," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 356-375.
    34. Ghostine, Rony & Thiriet, Jean-Marc & Aubry, Jean-François, 2011. "Variable delays and message losses: Influence on the reliability of a control loop," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(1), pages 160-171.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jose L. López-Prado & Jorge I. Vélez & Guisselle A. Garcia-Llinás, 2020. "Reliability Evaluation in Distribution Networks with Microgrids: Review and Classification of the Literature," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-31, November.
    2. Su, Huai & Zhang, Jinjun & Zio, Enrico & Yang, Nan & Li, Xueyi & Zhang, Zongjie, 2018. "An integrated systemic method for supply reliability assessment of natural gas pipeline networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 489-501.
    3. Dong, Chaoyu & Gao, Qingbin & Xiao, Qian & Yu, Xiaodan & Pekař, Libor & Jia, Hongjie, 2018. "Time-delay stability switching boundary determination for DC microgrid clusters with the distributed control framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 189-204.
    4. Mo, Huadong & Sansavini, Giovanni, 2019. "Impact of aging and performance degradation on the operational costs of distributed generation systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 426-439.
    5. Miguel A. Rodríguez-López & Luis M. López-González & Luis M. López-Ochoa & Jesús Las-Heras-Casas, 2018. "Methodology for Detecting Malfunctions and Evaluating the Maintenance Effectiveness in Wind Turbine Generator Bearings Using Generic versus Specific Models from SCADA Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-22, March.
    6. Su, Huai & Zio, Enrico & Zhang, Jinjun & Li, Xueyi, 2018. "A systematic framework of vulnerability analysis of a natural gas pipeline network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 79-91.
    7. Li, Yulong & Zhang, Chi & Jia, Chuanzhou & Li, Xiaodong & Zhu, Yimin, 2019. "Joint optimization of workforce scheduling and routing for restoring a disrupted critical infrastructure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    8. Kang, Jing & Wang, Shengwei, 2018. "Robust optimal design of distributed energy systems based on life-cycle performance analysis using a probabilistic approach considering uncertainties of design inputs and equipment degradations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 615-627.
    9. Angel Gil & Miguel A. Sanz-Bobi & Miguel A. Rodríguez-López, 2018. "Behavior Anomaly Indicators Based on Reference Patterns—Application to the Gearbox and Electrical Generator of a Wind Turbine," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, January.
    10. Huang, Yujing & Wang, Yudong & Liu, Nian, 2022. "Low-carbon economic dispatch and energy sharing method of multiple Integrated Energy Systems from the perspective of System of Systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chiacchio, Ferdinando & D’Urso, Diego & Famoso, Fabio & Brusca, Sebastian & Aizpurua, Jose Ignacio & Catterson, Victoria M., 2018. "On the use of dynamic reliability for an accurate modelling of renewable power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 605-621.
    2. Ferdinando Chiacchio & Fabio Famoso & Diego D’Urso & Sebastian Brusca & Jose Ignacio Aizpurua & Luca Cedola, 2018. "Dynamic Performance Evaluation of Photovoltaic Power Plant by Stochastic Hybrid Fault Tree Automaton Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    3. Mena, Rodrigo & Hennebel, Martin & Li, Yan-Fu & Zio, Enrico, 2016. "A multi-objective optimization framework for risk-controlled integration of renewable generation into electric power systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 712-727.
    4. Kuznetsova, Elizaveta & Li, Yan-Fu & Ruiz, Carlos & Zio, Enrico, 2014. "An integrated framework of agent-based modelling and robust optimization for microgrid energy management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 70-88.
    5. Guowang Meng & Hongle Li & Bo Wu & Guangyang Liu & Huazheng Ye & Yiming Zuo, 2023. "Prediction of the Tunnel Collapse Probability Using SVR-Based Monte Carlo Simulation: A Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-21, April.
    6. Michael Saidani & Alissa Kendall & Bernard Yannou & Yann Leroy & François Cluzel, 2019. "Closing the loop on platinum from catalytic converters: Contributions from material flow analysis and circularity indicators," Post-Print hal-02094798, HAL.
    7. Michele Compare & Francesco Di Maio & Enrico Zio & Fausto Carlevaro & Sara Mattafirri, 2016. "Improving scheduled maintenance by missing data reconstruction: A double-loop Monte Carlo approach," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 230(5), pages 502-511, October.
    8. Salomon, Julian & Winnewisser, Niklas & Wei, Pengfei & Broggi, Matteo & Beer, Michael, 2021. "Efficient reliability analysis of complex systems in consideration of imprecision," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    9. Di Maio, Francesco & Pettorossi, Chiara & Zio, Enrico, 2023. "Entropy-driven Monte Carlo simulation method for approximating the survival signature of complex infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    10. Wang, Fan & Li, Heng, 2018. "System reliability under prescribed marginals and correlations: Are we correct about the effect of correlations?," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 94-104.
    11. Tito G. Amaral & Vitor Fernão Pires & Armando Cordeiro & Daniel Foito & João F. Martins & Julia Yamnenko & Tetyana Tereschenko & Liudmyla Laikova & Ihor Fedin, 2023. "Incipient Fault Diagnosis of a Grid-Connected T-Type Multilevel Inverter Using Multilayer Perceptron and Walsh Transform," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-18, March.
    12. Zhang, Hanxiao & Sun, Muxia & Li, Yan-Fu, 2022. "Reliability–redundancy allocation problem in multi-state flow network: Minimal cut-based approximation scheme," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    13. Tosoni, E. & Salo, A. & Govaerts, J. & Zio, E., 2019. "Comprehensiveness of scenarios in the safety assessment of nuclear waste repositories," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 561-573.
    14. Penttinen, Jussi-Pekka & Niemi, Arto & Gutleber, Johannes & Koskinen, Kari T. & Coatanéa, Eric & Laitinen, Jouko, 2019. "An open modelling approach for availability and reliability of systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 387-399.
    15. Rocco, Claudio M. & Moronta, José & Ramirez-Marquez, José E. & Barker, Kash, 2017. "Effects of multi-state links in network community detection," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 46-56.
    16. Compare, Michele & Bellani, Luca & Zio, Enrico, 2019. "Optimal allocation of prognostics and health management capabilities to improve the reliability of a power transmission network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 164-180.
    17. Babykina, Génia & Brînzei, Nicolae & Aubry, Jean-François & Deleuze, Gilles, 2016. "Modeling and simulation of a controlled steam generator in the context of dynamic reliability using a Stochastic Hybrid Automaton," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 115-136.
    18. Compare, Michele & Bellani, Luca & Zio, Enrico, 2017. "Reliability model of a component equipped with PHM capabilities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 4-11.
    19. Gascard, Eric & Simeu-Abazi, Zineb, 2018. "Quantitative Analysis of Dynamic Fault Trees by means of Monte Carlo Simulations: Event-Driven Simulation Approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 487-504.
    20. Shiyu Chen & Wei Wang & Enrico Zio, 2021. "A Simulation-Based Multi-Objective Optimization Framework for the Production Planning in Energy Supply Chains," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-27, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:183:y:2016:i:c:p:805-822. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.