IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ2/2015-02-14.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exchange Rate Fluctuations, Oil Prices and Economic Performance: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria

Author

Listed:
  • Augustine C. Osigwe

    (Nigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research (NISER), Nigeria.)

Abstract

The dominance of oil in the Nigeria s external sector and as its major source of revenue is not in dispute. This therefore necessitates the need to probe the nexus and the magnitude of the effects of fluctuation in the exchange rate on oil price and on how it impacts the Nigeria s economic performance. Against this background, this study evaluated the effects of exchange rate fluctuations on crude oil price as well as on economic performance, simultaneously. The ordinary least square and the two stage least squares estimation techniques were employed. The study found that real exchange rate has a positive effect (1.2%) on the Nigeria s economic performance. We also found that a 1% increase in the price of oil would positively influence the economic performance of Nigeria by the magnitude of 4%. The R2 shows that 82% deviation in the gross domestic product was captured by the explanatory variables whereas the J-statistics of the model is insignificant, thus, confirming the relevance and validity of the instruments used.

Suggested Citation

  • Augustine C. Osigwe, 2015. "Exchange Rate Fluctuations, Oil Prices and Economic Performance: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(2), pages 502-506.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2015-02-14
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/download/1148/656
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/1148/656
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marc Deloof, 2003. "Does Working Capital Management Affect Profitability of Belgian Firms?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3‐4), pages 573-588, April.
    2. Marc Deloof, 2003. "Does Working Capital Management Affect Profitability of Belgian Firms?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3-4), pages 573-588.
    3. Chaido Dritsaki & Melina Dritsaki, 2014. "Causal Relationship between Energy Consumption, Economic Growth and CO2 Emissions: A Dynamic Panel Data Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 4(2), pages 125-136.
    4. Pedro Juan García‐Teruel & Pedro Martínez‐Solano, 2007. "Effects of working capital management on SME profitability," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 3(2), pages 164-177, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Agya Atabani Adi & Samuel Paabu Adda & Amadi Kingsley Wobilor, 2022. "Shocks and volatility transmission between oil price and Nigeria’s exchange rate," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(6), pages 1-17, June.
    2. Arvian Triantoro & Muhammad Zaheer Akhtar & Shiraz Khan & Khalid Zaman & Haroon ur Rashid Khan & Abdul Wahab Pathath & Muhamad Amar Mahmad & Kamil Sertoglu, 2023. "Riding the Waves of Fluctuating Oil Prices: Decoding the Impact on Economic Growth," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 34-50, March.
    3. Ebenezer Olamide & Kanayo Ogujiuba & Andrew Maredza, 2022. "Exchange Rate Volatility, Inflation and Economic Growth in Developing Countries: Panel Data Approach for SADC," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-19, March.
    4. Wesseh, Presley K. & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Exchange rate fluctuations, oil price shocks and economic growth in a small net-importing economy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 402-407.
    5. N. P. Ravindra Deyshappriya & I. A. D. D. W. Rukshan & N. P. Dammika Padmakanthi, 2023. "Impact of Oil Price on Economic Growth of OECD Countries: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-14, March.
    6. Hussaini Umaru & Aguda Niyi A. & Nordiana Osagie Davies, 2018. "The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth of West African English-Speaking Countries," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(4), pages 131-143, October.
    7. Osaretin Kayode Omoregie & Sodik Adejonwo Olofin, 2020. "Corporate Performance in Nigeria: The Effect of Oil Price and Exchange Rate Fluctuations," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 170-179.
    8. Henry Okodua & Ese Urhie & Moses Akpesiri Erhi & Christiana Onyohu Hassan & Eyitemi Ayomikun Fasanu, 2022. "Oil Price Volatility and Equity Valuation of Listed Energy Companies in Nigeria: A Panel ARDL Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 482-490, September.
    9. ANYANWU, Felicia Akujinma & ANANWUDE, Amalachukwu Chijindu & OKOYE, Ngozi Theodora, 2017. "Exchange Rate Policy and Nigeria's Economic Growth: A Granger Causality Impact Assessment," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 1(1), pages 1-13.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Faris Nasif AL-Shubiri, 2015. "The Impact of Economic and Financial Variables on Cash Conversion Cycle of Energy, Oil and Gas Sectors Listed in Muscat Security Market," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(1), pages 174-181.
    2. Mai, Nhat Chi, 2022. "Capital Raising and Management of Vietnamese Small and Medium Sized Enterprises after Integrating into Global Economy," OSF Preprints dv68m, Center for Open Science.
    3. Nida Shah, 2016. "The Impact of Working Capital Management on Firms Profitability in Different Business Cycles: Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 1(1), pages 58-70, March.
    4. Grzegorz Zimon, 2020. "Financial Liquidity Management Strategies in Polish Energy Companies," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 365-368.
    5. Ding, Sai & Guariglia, Alessandra & Knight, John, 2013. "Investment and financing constraints in China: Does working capital management make a difference?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 1490-1507.
    6. Chauhan, Gaurav Singh, 2019. "Are working capital decisions truly short-term in nature?," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 238-253.
    7. Ukaegbu, Ben, 2014. "The significance of working capital management in determining firm profitability: Evidence from developing economies in Africa," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 1-16.
    8. Eunhye (Olivia) Park & Woo-Hyuk Kim, 2021. "The effect of inventory turnover on financial performance in the US restaurant industry: The moderating role of exposure to commodity price risk," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(7), pages 1417-1429, November.
    9. Hakan Özkaya & Şebnem Yaşar, 2023. "Working capital management in the food and beverage industry: Evidence from listed European companies," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 69(2), pages 78-88.
    10. Shahid Ali, 2011. "Working Capital Management and the Profitability of the Manufacturing Sector: A Case Study of Pakistan’s Textile Industry," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 16(2), pages 141-178, Jul-Dec.
    11. Abdul-Rahman Khokhar, 2019. "Working Capital Investment: A Comparative Study - Canada Versus the United States," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 23(1-2), pages 65-102, March - J.
    12. Paweł Mielcarz & Dmytro Osiichuk & Paweł Wnuczak, 2018. "Working Capital Management through the Business Cycle: Evidence from the Corporate Sector in Poland," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 12(2), June.
    13. Shaista Wasiuzzaman, 2015. "Working Capital and Profitability in Manufacturing Firms in Malaysia: An Empirical Study," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 16(4), pages 545-556, August.
    14. Kerstin Lopatta & Katarina Böttcher & Reemda Jaeschke, 2018. "When labor representatives join supervisory boards: empirical evidence of the relationship between the change to parity codetermination and working capital and operating cash flows," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 88(1), pages 1-39, January.
    15. Katerina Lyroudi & Sophia Nema, 2020. "The Effect of the Cash Conversion Cycle on the Z-scores of Fresh Milk Companies in Greece," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 1, pages 105-137, March.
    16. Enqvist, Julius & Graham, Michael & Nikkinen, Jussi, 2014. "The impact of working capital management on firm profitability in different business cycles: Evidence from Finland," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 36-49.
    17. Grzegorz Zimon & Dominik Zimon, 2020. "Quality Management Systems and Working Capital SMEs in GPO—A Case of Poland," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-13, October.
    18. Brandenburg, Marcus, 2016. "Supply chain efficiency, value creation and the economic crisis – An empirical assessment of the European automotive industry 2002–2010," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(P3), pages 321-335.
    19. Sonia Baños-Caballero & Pedro García-Teruel & Pedro Martínez-Solano, 2012. "How does working capital management affect the profitability of Spanish SMEs?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 39(2), pages 517-529, September.
    20. A.K. Sharma & Satish Kumar, 2011. "Effect of Working Capital Management on Firm Profitability," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 12(1), pages 159-173, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange Rate; Oil Prices and Economic Performance;

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2015-02-14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.