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Stock Prices And Its Relation With Crude Oil Prices And Exchange Rates in India

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  • Seshaiah, S.V.

    ()

  • Behera, C.

Abstract

This paper analyzes empirically whether the exchange rates and crude oil prices have explanatory power over Indian Stock market prices or not. The data used for this study are daily stock price indexes of BSE Sensex, Crude oil price and exchange rates for the period 2nd January 1991 – 12th ,December 2007. Engel granger and cointegration tests, VECM and variance Decomposition tests were used in the study to explain the long run relations among variables questioned. Obtained results illustrate that stock price indexes are cointegrated with crude oil prices and exchange rates by providing direct long run equilibrium relation. Our results also indicate that the stock market prices are influenced by oil and exchange rate at lag -50 where as stock market prices are influenced by exchange rate only at lag-25. The results also indicates that the average real returns in the era of rupee depreciation are lesser than that of appreciation period.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Euro-American Association of Economic Development in its journal Applied Econometrics and International Development.

Volume (Year): 9 (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:9:y:2009:i:1_13

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Related research

Keywords: Keywords: Oil prices; Exchange Rates; Indian Stock Prices; Cointegration Tests;

References

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  1. Ciner Cetin, 2001. "Energy Shocks and Financial Markets: Nonlinear Linkages," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(3), pages 1-11, October.
  2. Ajayi, Richard A & Mougoue, Mbodja, 1996. "On the Dynamic Relation between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association & Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 19(2), pages 193-207, Summer.
  3. Kearney, Colm, 1998. "The Causes of Volatility in a Small, Internationally Integrated Stock Market: Ireland, July 1975-June 1994," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association & Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 21(1), pages 85-104, Spring.
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Cited by:
  1. Rangan Gupta & Roula Inglesi-Lotz, 2012. "Macro Shocks and Real US Stock Prices with Special Focus on the "Great Recession"," Working Papers 201208, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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