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Exchange Rate Volatility and the Extent of Currency Substitution in Nigeria

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Author Info
Yinusa D. O. (Department of Economics, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, Nigeria.)
A. E. Akinlo (Department of Economics, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, Nigeria.)

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Abstract

This study tests for the existence of currency substitution and attempts to gauge its magnitude in Nigeria. The analysis was based on a multi-perspective unrestricted portfolio balance model. The stock of foreign currency deposits in Nigeria and the ratio of deposits denominated in foreign currency in the domestic banking system to deposits denominated in the domestic currency were modelled. The study revealed the presence of currency substitution in the domestic banking system in Nigeria. A major factor driving this process was exchange rate volatility especially real parallel market exchange rate volatility. Also, the study demonstrates that currency substitution in Nigeria was low during the period under review and as such classified Nigeria as moderately dollarized economy. Subsequently, alternative policy options for curtailing currency substitution in Nigeria were explored. The study concludes that currency substitution is an element of Nigerians' behaviour concerning wealth allocation and as such macroeconomic policies that ensure long periods of low inflation and exchange rate stability become the most powerful policy option that could help stabilize or reduce currency substitution. Also very paramount are the development of domestic financial markets with relevant infrastructural facilities and the development of new financial instruments, which will serve as alternatives to holding money in the domestic economy.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics in its journal Indian Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 43 (2008)
Issue (Month): 2 (December)
Pages: 161-181
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Handle: RePEc:dse:indecr:v:43:y:2008:i:2:p:161-181

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Related research
Keywords: Demand for money; Exchange Rate Volatility; Currency Substitution; Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance; Nigeria.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

  1. Girton, Lance & Roper, Don E, 1981. "Theory and Implications of Currency Substitution," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 13(1), pages 12-30, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Branson, William H. & Henderson, Dale W., 1985. "The specification and influence of asset markets," Handbook of International Economics, in: R. W. Jones & P. B. Kenen (ed.), Handbook of International Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 15, pages 749-805 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Mizen, Paul & Pentecost, Eric J, 1994. "Evaluating the Empirical Evidence for Currency Substitution: A Case Study of the Demand for Sterling in Europe," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 104(426), pages 1057-69, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Miguel A. Savastano, 1996. "Dollarization in Latin America - Recent Evidence and Some Policy Issues," IMF Working Papers 96/4, International Monetary Fund.
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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