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Supply and Demand Risks in Laboratory Forward and Spot Markets: Implications for Agriculture

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  • Menkhaus, Dale J.
  • Bastian, Chris T.
  • Phillips, Owen R.
  • O'Neill, Patrick D.

Abstract

Laboratory experimental methods are used to investigate the impacts of supply and/or demand risks on prices, quantities traded, and earnings within forward and spot market institutions. Random demand and/or supply shifts can be as much as 25 percent of the expected equilibrium outcome. Nevertheless, results suggest that the spot or forward trading institution itself has a greater influence on market outcomes than the presence of risk within the trading institution. Sellers tend to have relatively higher earnings in a spot market than buyers, regardless of the risk. Total surplus, however, generally is greater in a forward market.

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  • Menkhaus, Dale J. & Bastian, Chris T. & Phillips, Owen R. & O'Neill, Patrick D., 2000. "Supply and Demand Risks in Laboratory Forward and Spot Markets: Implications for Agriculture," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(1), pages 159-173, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:32:y:2000:i:01:p:159-173_02
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    Cited by:

    1. Phillips, Owen R. & Nagler, Amy M. & Menkhaus, Dale J. & Huang, Shanshan & Bastian, Christopher T., 2014. "Trading partner choice and bargaining culture in negotiations," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 178-190.
    2. Phillips, Owen R. & Menkhaus, Dale J., 2006. "The Culture of Private Negotiation: Price Drift in Bilateral Bargaining," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21168, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Nagler, Amy M. & Menkhaus, Dale J. & Bastian, Christopher T. & Ehmke, Mariah D. & Coatney, Kalyn T., 2013. "Subsidy Incidence in Factor Markets: An Experimental Approach," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 45(1), pages 17-33, February.
    4. Fumasi, Roland J., 2005. "Estimating The Impacts Of Differing Price-Risk Management Strategies On The Net Income Of Salinas Valley Lettuce Producers: A Stochastic Simulation Approach," 2005 Annual Meeting, July 6-8, 2005, San Francisco, California 36310, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    5. Miyashita, Kazuo, 2015. "Developing an Online Market Mechanism for Trading Perishable Agricultural Commodities," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212470, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Amy M. Nagler & Dale J. Menkhaus & Christopher T. Bastian & Nicole S. Ballenger & Erik O’Donoghue & C. Edwin Young, 2009. "Are Production Decisions Decoupled under a Bond Scheme? Experimental Evidence," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 31(2), pages 222-230.
    7. Koontz Stephen R & Ward Clement E, 2011. "Livestock Mandatory Price Reporting: A Literature Review and Synthesis of Related Market Information Research," Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-33, July.

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