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Modelo gravitacional del comercio internacional colombiano, 1991 - 2012

Author

Listed:
  • Luis Miguel Bolívar Caro
  • Nataly Cruz García
  • Andrea Pinto Torres

Abstract

El comercio exterior de Colombia está moldeado por las posibilidades de acceso a los diferentes mercados. Dicho acceso depende de la distancia, medida no solo desde el punto de vista geográfico, sino también desde las perspectivas político-administrativa, cultural y económica. Estas dimensiones del concepto de “distancia” se analizan aquí mediante el modelo gravitacional de comercio exterior. En este trabajo se usan datos de flujos de comercio entre Colombia y 173 países y territorios. Se encuentra que, en la selección de sus socios comerciales, Colombia es muy sensible a la distancia geográfica y más sensible aún a que los países socios sean hispanohablantes. Además, variables geográficas, como el acceso al mar, y variables administrativas, como tener acuerdos regionales y pertenecer a la Organización Mundial de Comercio, resultan críticas para entablar relaciones comerciales con el resto del mundo.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Miguel Bolívar Caro & Nataly Cruz García & Andrea Pinto Torres, 2015. "Modelo gravitacional del comercio internacional colombiano, 1991 - 2012," Revista Economía y Región, Universidad Tecnológica de Bolívar, vol. 9(1), pages 245-270, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000411:013791
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mauricio Cárdenas & Camilo García, 2005. "El modelo gravitacional y el TLC entre Colombia y Estados Unidos," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, June.
    2. James E. Anderson & Eric van Wincoop, 2003. "Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 170-192, March.
    3. Baier, Scott L. & Bergstrand, Jeffrey H., 2007. "Do free trade agreements actually increase members' international trade?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1), pages 72-95, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. David C. López-Valenzuela & Enrique Montes-Uribe & Héctor M. Zárate-Solano & Alvaro Carmona-Duarte, 2019. "Determinantes y evolución entre precios y cantidades de las exportaciones industriales de Colombia: un estudio a partir de un modelo de Panel-VAR," Borradores de Economia 1075, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Colombia; comercio exterior; modelo gravitacional; dinámica comercial; economía internacional;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • F55 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Institutional Arrangements

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