IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/col/000152/017184.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

La rigidez del gasto público brasileno a largo plazo

Author

Listed:
  • Hernán Alejandro Roitbarg

Abstract

En el presente artículo se estudian los efectos económicos de la rigidez en el gasto público real de Brasil. La metodología utilizada se enfoca en el modelo de equilibrio general computado disenado por Lofgren (2000) y calibrado a partir de la matriz de contabilidad social de Brasil en 2013. Los equilibrios simulados se plantean para dos escenarios probables en 2033 con respecto a la vigencia o no de la Enmienda Constitucional n.º 95. El cálculo de las situaciones probables difiere en cuanto a las partidas de educación y salud. Los resultados complementan estudios de impacto existentes, observando un menor nivel de producto interno bruto, ingreso nacional disponible, ingreso factorial del trabajo y leves consecuencias para la configuración sectorial y del balance comercial.

Suggested Citation

  • Hernán Alejandro Roitbarg, 2018. "La rigidez del gasto público brasileno a largo plazo," Apuntes del Cenes, Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, vol. 37(66), pages 77-98, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000152:017184
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/revistas/index.php/cenes/article/view/6105
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Guilhoto, J. J. M. & Sesso Filho, U. A., 2005. "Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto a Partir De Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais [Estimation of input-output matrix using preliminary data from national accounts]," MPRA Paper 38212, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Vinhais, Henrique & Guilhoto, Joaquim, 2012. "Economic Impact of the Expansion of Federal Universities in Brazil," TD NEREUS 16-2012, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    2. Fernanda Sartori Camargo & Joaquim Jose Martins Guilhoto, 2006. "Structural Analysis of the Formal and Informal Jobs in the Brazilian Economy," ERSA conference papers ersa06p716, European Regional Science Association.
    3. Guilhoto, J. J. M. & Ichihara, S. M. & Silveira, F. G. & Azzoni, Carlos Roberto, 2006. "Comparação Entre O Agronegócio Familiar Do Rio Grande Do Sul E Do Brasil [Comparing The Agribusiness For The State Of Rio Grande Do Sul And For Brazil As A Whole]," MPRA Paper 38040, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Florent Bédécarrats & Isabelle Guérin & François Roubaud, 2015. "The gold standard for randomized evaluations: from discussion of method to political economy," Working Papers DT/2015/01, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    5. Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Camargo, Fernanda Sartori de, 2008. "Employment and familiar agriculture agribusiness in the Brazilian economy: an interregional Leontief-Miyazawa model approach," MPRA Paper 29781, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Edilberto Tiago de Almeida & Raul da Mota Silveira Neto & Roberta de Moraes Rocha, 2022. "Manufacturing location patterns in Brazil," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 101(4), pages 839-873, August.
    7. Eduardo A. Haddad & Juan M. G. Samaniego, Alexandre A. Porsse, Diego Ochoa, Santiago Ochoa, Luiz G. A. de Souza, 2011. "Interregional Input-Ouptut System for Ecuador, 2007: Methodology and Results," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2011_08, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    8. World Bank, 2008. "Brazil : Evaluating the Macroeconomic and Distributional Impacts of Lowering Transportation Costs," World Bank Publications - Reports 8083, The World Bank Group.
    9. Sesso Filho, Umberto Antonio & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Moretto, Antonio Carlos & Rodrigues, Rossana Lott & Brene, Paulo Rogério Alves, 2010. "Geração de renda e interdependência regional entre os estados do sul e do restante do Brasil [Inter-regional sistem south-rest of Brazil: income generation and regional interdependence]," MPRA Paper 53999, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Gutierre, Leopoldo M. & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Nogueira, Tatiana A., 2012. "Estrutura produtiva, de consumo e de formação de renda brasileira: uma análise de insumo-produto para o ano de 2008 [Productive structure, consumption and Brazilian income formation: an analysis of," MPRA Paper 46956, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Camargo, Fernanda Satori de & Moreira, Guilherme Renato Caldo, 2007. "Agropecuária, emprego e distribuição de renda na economia brasileira: uma aplicação do modelo Leontief-Miyazawa [Agriculture and animal creation, employment and income distribution in Brazilian eco," MPRA Paper 54500, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Compeán, Roberto Guerrero & Polenske, Karen R., 2011. "Antagonistic bioenergies: Technological divergence of the ethanol industry in Brazil," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(11), pages 6951-6961.
    13. Cabral da Costa, Cinthia & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2010. "Impacto da diferenciação do ICMS entre etanol hidratado e gasolina C para a economia do Estado de Minas Gerais [Impact of the ICMS differentiation between hydrated ethanol and gasoline C for the ec," MPRA Paper 42453, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Erik Dietzenbacher & Joaquim J.M. Guilhoto, Denise Imori, 2013. "The Role of Brazilian Regions in the Global Value Chain," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2013_15, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    15. Eduardo A. Haddad & Natalia Q. Cotarelli, Thiago C. Simonato, Vinicius A. Vale & Jaqueline C. Vicentin, 2018. "Estimation of NUTS2 Interregional Input-Output Systems for Greece, 2010 and 2013," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2018_07, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    16. Costa, Cinthia Cabral da & Cunha, Marcelo Pereira da & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2011. "The role of ethanol in the brazilian economy: three decades of progress," MPRA Paper 32224, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Haddad, Eduardo & Marques, Maria Carolina, 2012. "Technical Note on the Construction of the Interregional Input-Output System for the Concession Areas of ANEEL," TD NEREUS 5-2012, Núcleo de Economia Regional e Urbana da Universidade de São Paulo (NEREUS).
    18. Perobelli, Fernando Salgueiro & Guilhoto, Joaquim & Faria, Weslem Rodrigues, 2006. "Impacto Das Exportações Brasileiras Para O Mercosul, União Européia E Nafta Sobre Produção E Emprego: Uma Análise De Insumoproduto Para 1997 -2001," 44th Congress, July 23-27, 2006, Fortaleza, Ceará, Brazil 147394, Sociedade Brasileira de Economia, Administracao e Sociologia Rural (SOBER).
    19. Ichihara, Silvio Massaru & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins & Imori, Denise, 2009. "Combining geoprocessing and interregional input-output systems: An application to the State of São Paulo in Brazil," MPRA Paper 30696, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2011. "Análise de Insumo-Produto: Teoria e Fundamentos [Input-Output Analysis: Theory and Foundations]," MPRA Paper 32566, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Enmienda constitucional 95; gasto público fijo; Brasil;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000152:017184. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Luis Eudoro Vallejo Zamudio (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://revistas.uptc.edu.co/index.php/cenes/index .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.