Application de la méthode de la comptabilité générationnelle à la France. Quelques facteurs d'instabilité des résultats
AbstractGenerational accounting, initiated in the early 90?s, intends to take the government long term financial liabilities into account. Indeed, these are not included in the standard measure of the budget deficit. Our calculations, using this technique, indicate that French generational policy is imbalanced against future generations. Current policies in France can not be sustained without requiring future generations to pay higher net taxes over their lifetime than current generations pay. If this generational imbalance, mainly resulting from demographic evolutions, is not contested, its precise size would depend on a great number of assumptions. The purpose of this paper is to highlight the impact of these assumptions, by comparing the different French studies using generational accounting. We show that the generational imbalance may vary from 1 to 4, according to the assumptions relative to the age and sex profiles of taxes and transfers, the treatment of the debt interest payment, the distribution of education expenditures, the treatment of governments?s investment spendings, the measure of the net wealth of the government, and the evolution of age and sex profiles of taxes and transfers. Classification JEL : E62, H55, H60, J18, M40
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Presses de Sciences-Po in its journal Revue économique.
Volume (Year): 53 (2002)
Issue (Month): 4 ()
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Web page: http://www.cairn.info/revue-economique.htm
Other versions of this item:
- Carole Bonnet, 2002. "Application de la méthode de la comptabilité générationnelle à la France. Quelques facteurs d'instabilité des résultats," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 53(4), pages 719-766.
- E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
- H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
- H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General
- J18 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Public Policy
- M40 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting - - Accounting - - - General
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- Stéphane Zuber & Antoine Bommier & Jérôme Bourdieu & Akiko Suwa-Eisenmann, 2007.
"Le développement des transferts publics d'éducation et d'assurance vieillesse par génération en France : 1850-2000,"
Économie et Prévision,
Programme National Persée, vol. 180(4), pages 1-17.
- Stéphane Zuber & Antoine Bommier & Jérôme Bourdieu & Akiko Suwa-Eisenmann, 2005. "Le développement des transferts publics d'éducation et d'assurance vieillesse par génération en France : 1850-2000," Research Unit Working Papers 0508, Laboratoire d'Economie Appliquee, INRA.
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