IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/metroe/v72y2021i3p592-611.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Thirlwall’s law, uneven development, and income distribution

Author

Listed:
  • Hiroaki Sasaki

Abstract

This study builds a North–South trade and uneven development model and investigates the effects of changes in income distribution (the profit share) on economic growth rates of both countries. How a change in each country’s profit share affects both countries’ growth rates differs for the short‐ and long‐run equilibria. For example, in the short‐run equilibrium, an increase in the North’s profit share deteriorates the terms of trade and then decreases the South’s growth rate. On the other hand, in the long‐run equilibrium, an increase in the North’s profit share either increases or decreases the South’s growth rate through Thirlwall’s law.

Suggested Citation

  • Hiroaki Sasaki, 2021. "Thirlwall’s law, uneven development, and income distribution," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(3), pages 592-611, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:metroe:v:72:y:2021:i:3:p:592-611
    DOI: 10.1111/meca.12335
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/meca.12335
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/meca.12335?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hiroaki Sasaki & Ryunosuke Sonoda & Shinya Fujita, 2013. "International Competition and Distributive Class Conflict in an Open Economy Kaleckian Model," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(4), pages 683-715, November.
    2. Anthony Philip Thirlwall, 2012. "Balance of Payments Constrained Growth Models: History and Overview," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Elias Soukiazis & Pedro A. Cerqueira (ed.), Models of Balance of Payments Constrained Growth, chapter 1, pages 11-49, Palgrave Macmillan.
    3. Amitava Krishna Dutt, 2002. "Thirlwall’s Law and Uneven Development," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(3), pages 367-390, March.
    4. Anthony P. Thirlwall, 2011. "The Balance of Payments Constraint as an Explanation of International Growth Rate Differences," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 64(259), pages 429-438.
    5. Dutt, Amitava Krishna, 1996. "Southern Primary Exports, Technological Change and Uneven Development," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 20(1), pages 73-89, January.
    6. Hiroaki Sasaki, 2013. "Cyclical growth in a Goodwin–Kalecki–Marx model," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 108(2), pages 145-171, March.
    7. Blecker, Robert A, 1989. "International Competition, Income Distribution and Economic Growth," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 13(3), pages 395-412, September.
    8. Gabriel Porcile & Giuliano Toshiro Yajima, 2019. "New Structuralism and the balance-ofpayments constraint," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 7(4), pages 517-536, October.
    9. J. S. L. McCombie & A. P. Thirlwall, 1994. "Economic Growth and the Balance-of-Payments Constraint," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-349-23121-8.
    10. Hiroaki Sasaki, 2008. "North-South Ricardian trade and growth under the balance-of-payments constraint," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 299-324, December.
    11. Findlay, Ronald, 1980. "The Terms of Trade and Equilibrium Growth in the World Economy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 291-299, June.
    12. Armon Rezai, 2015. "Demand and distribution in integrated economies," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 39(5), pages 1399-1414.
    13. Elias Soukiazis & Pedro A. Cerqueira (ed.), 2012. "Models of Balance of Payments Constrained Growth," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-137-02395-7.
    14. Bhaduri, Amit & Marglin, Stephen, 1990. "Unemployment and the Real Wage: The Economic Basis for Contesting Political Ideologies," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 14(4), pages 375-393, December.
    15. Maurizio Pugno, 1998. "The Stability of Thirlwall’s Model of Economic Growth and the Balance-Of-Payments Constraint," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(4), pages 559-581, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sasaki, Hiroaki & Sonoda, Ryunosuke, 2022. "International competition, income distribution, and North-South uneven development under the balance of payments constraint," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 9-23.
    2. Nomaler, Önder & Sartorello Spinola, Danilo & Verspagen, Bart, 2023. "Demand-led industrialisation policy in a dual-sector small open economy," MERIT Working Papers 2023-002, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    3. Musa Esuwa Shingil & Huseyin Ozdeser & Andisheh Saliminezhad, 2022. "Investigation of Balance of Payment Constrained Growth Model: The Impact of Export Growth, Capital Flows, and Real Effective Exchange Rate on Growth of the UK," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, May.
    4. Ganguly, Arpan & Spinola, Danilo, 2022. "Growth and Distribution regimes under Global Value Chains: Diversification, Integration and Uneven Development," CAFE Working Papers 17, Centre for Accountancy, Finance and Economics (CAFE), Birmingham City Business School, Birmingham City University.
    5. Robert A. Blecker, 2022. "New advances and controversies in the framework of balance‐of‐payments‐constrained growth," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 429-467, April.
    6. Dávila-Fernández, Marwil & Oreiro, José, 2021. "A song of ice and fire: Competitiveness in an export-led growing economy," MPRA Paper 109821, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sasaki, Hiroaki, 2019. "North-South Uneven Development and Income Distribution under the Balance of Payments Constraint," MPRA Paper 91469, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Robert A. Blecker, 2022. "New advances and controversies in the framework of balance‐of‐payments‐constrained growth," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 429-467, April.
    3. Sasaki, Hiroaki & Sonoda, Ryunosuke, 2022. "International competition, income distribution, and North-South uneven development under the balance of payments constraint," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 9-23.
    4. Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J. & Sordi, Serena, 2019. "Distributive cycles and endogenous technical change in a BoPC growth model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 216-233.
    5. Hiroshi Nishi, 2019. "Balance‐of‐payments‐constrained cyclical growth with distributive class conflicts and productivity dynamics," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(4), pages 620-640, November.
    6. Spinola, Danilo, 2020. "Uneven development and the balance of payments constrained model: Terms of trade, economic cycles, and productivity catching-up," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 220-232.
    7. A. P. Thirlwall, 2013. "Economic Growth in an Open Developing Economy," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 15208.
    8. Robert A. Blecker, 2016. "Wage-led versus profit-led demand regimes: the long and the short of it," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 4(4), pages 373-390, October.
    9. Sebastien Charles & Thomas Dallery & Jonathan Marie, 2022. "The slowing of growth in France: an interpretation based on Thirlwall’s law," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(1), pages 100-129, January.
    10. Cícero, Vinicius Curti & Lima, Gilberto Tadeu, 2023. "Functional distribution of income as a determinant of importing behavior: An empirical analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 393-405.
    11. Eckhard Hein, 2017. "Post-Keynesian macroeconomics since the mid 1990s: main developments," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 14(2), pages 131-172, September.
    12. Köhler, Karsten, 2016. "Currency devaluations, aggregate demand, and debt dynamics in an economy with foreign currency liabilities," IPE Working Papers 78/2016, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    13. Amitava Krishna Dutt, 2017. "Heterodox Theories Of Economic Growth And Income Distribution: A Partial Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(5), pages 1240-1271, December.
    14. Mario Cimoli & Gabriel Porcile, 2014. "Technology, structural change and BOP-constrained growth: a structuralist toolbox," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 38(1), pages 215-237.
    15. Robert A. Blecker, 2009. "Long-Run Growth in Open Economies: Export-Led Cumulative Causation or a Balance-of-Payments Constraint?," Working Papers 2009-23, American University, Department of Economics.
    16. Danilo Spinola, 2021. "The La Marca model revisited: Structuralist goodwin cycles with evolutionary supply side and balance of payments constraints," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 72(1), pages 189-212, February.
    17. Dávila-Fernández, Marwil J. & Sordi, Serena, 2019. "Path dependence, distributive cycles and export capacity in a BoPC growth model," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 258-272.
    18. Bilge Erten, 2010. "Industrial Upgrading and Export Diversification: A Comparative Analysis of Economic Policies in Turkey and Malaysia," Working Papers id:2778, eSocialSciences.
    19. Rafael Saulo Marques Ribeiro & John S.L. McCombie & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2017. "A reconciliation proposal of demand-driven growth models in open economies," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 44(2), pages 226-244, May.
    20. Won Jun Nah & Marc Lavoie, 2017. "Long-run convergence in a neo-Kaleckian open-economy model with autonomous export growth," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 223-238, April.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:metroe:v:72:y:2021:i:3:p:592-611. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0026-1386 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.