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Initialization Of The Kalman Filter With Partially Diffuse Initial Conditions

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  • Ralph D. Snyder
  • Grant R. Saligari

Abstract

. The problem of computing estimates of the state vector when the Kalman filter is seeded with an arbitrarily large variance is considered. To date the response in the literature has been the development of a number of relatively complex hybrid filters, usually involving additional quantities and equations over and above the conventional filter. We show, however, that a certain square root covariance filter is capable of handling the complete range of variances (zero, positive and infinite) without modification to the filtering equations themselves and without additional computation loads. Instead of the more conventional Cholesky factorization, our filter employs an alternative matrix factorization procedure based on a unit lower triangular matrix and a diagonal matrix. This permits the use of a modified form of fast Givens transformations, central to the development of an efficient algorithm.

Suggested Citation

  • Ralph D. Snyder & Grant R. Saligari, 1996. "Initialization Of The Kalman Filter With Partially Diffuse Initial Conditions," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(4), pages 409-424, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:17:y:1996:i:4:p:409-424
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.1996.tb00285.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Snyder Ralph D & Forbes Catherine S, 2003. "Reconstructing the Kalman Filter for Stationary and Non Stationary Time Series," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(2), pages 1-20, July.
    2. Adrian Pizzinga & Marcelo Fernandes, 2021. "Extensions to the invariance property of maximum likelihood estimation for affine‐transformed state‐space models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 355-371, May.
    3. Casals, Jose & Jerez, Miguel & Sotoca, Sonia, 2000. "Exact smoothing for stationary and non-stationary time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 59-69.
    4. S. J. Koopman & J. Durbin, 2000. "Fast Filtering and Smoothing for Multivariate State Space Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 281-296, May.
    5. Snyder, R.D. & Forbes, C.S., 1999. "Understanding the Kalman Filter: an Object Oriented Programming Perspective," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/99, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    6. S. J. Koopman & J. Durbin, 2003. "Filtering and smoothing of state vector for diffuse state‐space models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 85-98, January.
    7. Ralph D. Snyder & J. Keith Ord, 2009. "Exponential Smoothing and the Akaike Information Criterion," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/09, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    8. Piet De Jong & Singfat Chu‐Chun‐Lin, 2003. "Smoothing With An Unknown Initial Condition," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 141-148, March.

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