IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/jorssa/v181y2018i4p1193-1209.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Generalizing evidence from randomized trials using inverse probability of sampling weights

Author

Listed:
  • Ashley L. Buchanan
  • Michael G. Hudgens
  • Stephen R. Cole
  • Katie R. Mollan
  • Paul E. Sax
  • Eric S. Daar
  • Adaora A. Adimora
  • Joseph J. Eron
  • Michael J. Mugavero

Abstract

Results obtained in randomized trials may not easily generalize to target populations. Whereas in randomized trials the treatment assignment mechanism is known, the sampling mechanism by which individuals are selected to participate in the trial is typically not known and assuming random sampling from the target population is often dubious. We consider an inverse probability of sampling weighted (IPSW) estimator for generalizing trial results to a target population. The IPSW estimator is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. A consistent sandwich‐type variance estimator is derived and simulation results are presented comparing the IPSW estimator with a previously proposed stratified estimator. The methods are then utilized to generalize results from two randomized trials of human immunodeficiency virus treatment to all people living with the disease in the USA.

Suggested Citation

  • Ashley L. Buchanan & Michael G. Hudgens & Stephen R. Cole & Katie R. Mollan & Paul E. Sax & Eric S. Daar & Adaora A. Adimora & Joseph J. Eron & Michael J. Mugavero, 2018. "Generalizing evidence from randomized trials using inverse probability of sampling weights," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 181(4), pages 1193-1209, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:181:y:2018:i:4:p:1193-1209
    DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12357
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12357
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/rssa.12357?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Weili Ding & Steven F. Lehrer, 2010. "Estimating Treatment Effects from Contaminated Multiperiod Education Experiments: The Dynamic Impacts of Class Size Reductions," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 92(1), pages 31-42, February.
    2. Muller, Sean, 2014. "Randomised trials for policy: a review of the external validity of treatment effects," SALDRU Working Papers 127, Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit, University of Cape Town.
    3. Hunt Allcott, 2015. "Site Selection Bias in Program Evaluation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 130(3), pages 1117-1165.
    4. Keisuke Hirano & Guido W. Imbens & Geert Ridder, 2003. "Efficient Estimation of Average Treatment Effects Using the Estimated Propensity Score," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(4), pages 1161-1189, July.
    5. Elizabeth Tipton, 2013. "Improving Generalizations From Experiments Using Propensity Score Subclassification," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 38(3), pages 239-266, June.
    6. Allcott, Hunt, 2011. "Social norms and energy conservation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(9-10), pages 1082-1095, October.
    7. James J. Heckman & Sergio Urzua & Edward Vytlacil, 2006. "Understanding Instrumental Variables in Models with Essential Heterogeneity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 88(3), pages 389-432, August.
    8. Elizabeth A. Stuart & Stephen R. Cole & Catherine P. Bradshaw & Philip J. Leaf, 2011. "The use of propensity scores to assess the generalizability of results from randomized trials," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 174(2), pages 369-386, April.
    9. Erin Hartman & Richard Grieve & Roland Ramsahai & Jasjeet S. Sekhon, 2015. "From sample average treatment effect to population average treatment effect on the treated: combining experimental with observational studies to estimate population treatment effects," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(3), pages 757-778, June.
    10. Joseph Hotz, V. & Imbens, Guido W. & Mortimer, Julie H., 2005. "Predicting the efficacy of future training programs using past experiences at other locations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 125(1-2), pages 241-270.
    11. Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2002. "Inverse probability weighted M-estimators for sample selection, attrition, and stratification," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 1(2), pages 117-139, August.
    12. Wooldridge, Jeffrey M., 2007. "Inverse probability weighted estimation for general missing data problems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 1281-1301, December.
    13. Niels Keiding & Thomas A. Louis, 2016. "Perils and potentials of self-selected entry to epidemiological studies and surveys," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 179(2), pages 319-376, February.
    14. Allcott, Hunt, 2011. "Social norms and energy conservation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(9), pages 1082-1095.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hongfei Li & Jing Peng & Xinxin Li & Jan Stallaert, 2023. "When More Can Be Less: The Effect of Add-On Insurance on the Consumption of Professional Services," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 34(1), pages 363-382, March.
    2. Rui Chen & Guanhua Chen & Menggang Yu, 2023. "Entropy balancing for causal generalization with target sample summary information," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(4), pages 3179-3190, December.
    3. Fan Li & Ashley L. Buchanan & Stephen R. Cole, 2022. "Generalizing trial evidence to target populations in non‐nested designs: Applications to AIDS clinical trials," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(3), pages 669-697, June.
    4. Frederico Finan & Demian Pouzo, 2021. "Reinforcing RCTs with Multiple Priors while Learning about External Validity," Papers 2112.09170, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2023.
    5. Xinyu Li & Wang Miao & Fang Lu & Xiao‐Hua Zhou, 2023. "Improving efficiency of inference in clinical trials with external control data," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(1), pages 394-403, March.
    6. Dasom Lee & Shu Yang & Lin Dong & Xiaofei Wang & Donglin Zeng & Jianwen Cai, 2023. "Improving trial generalizability using observational studies," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 79(2), pages 1213-1225, June.
    7. Melody Y Huang & Sarah E Robertson & Harsh Parikh, 2024. "Towards Generalizing Inferences from Trials to Target Populations," Papers 2402.17042, arXiv.org.
    8. Naoki Egami & Erin Hartman, 2021. "Covariate selection for generalizing experimental results: Application to a large‐scale development program in Uganda," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(4), pages 1524-1548, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guido W. Imbens & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2009. "Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 47(1), pages 5-86, March.
    2. Hunt Allcott, 2012. "Site Selection Bias in Program Evaluation," NBER Working Papers 18373, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Fan Li & Ashley L. Buchanan & Stephen R. Cole, 2022. "Generalizing trial evidence to target populations in non‐nested designs: Applications to AIDS clinical trials," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(3), pages 669-697, June.
    4. Isaiah Andrews & Emily Oster, 2017. "A Simple Approximation for Evaluating External Validity Bias," NBER Working Papers 23826, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Andor, Mark A. & Gerster, Andreas & Peters, Jörg & Schmidt, Christoph M., 2020. "Social Norms and Energy Conservation Beyond the US," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    6. Andrews, Isaiah & Oster, Emily, 2019. "A simple approximation for evaluating external validity bias," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 58-62.
    7. Ashis Das & Jed Friedman & Eeshani Kandpal, 2018. "Does involvement of local NGOs enhance public service delivery? Cautionary evidence from a malaria‐prevention program in India," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 172-188, January.
    8. Daido Kido, 2022. "Distributionally Robust Policy Learning with Wasserstein Distance," Papers 2205.04637, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    9. Ruoxuan Xiong & Allison Koenecke & Michael Powell & Zhu Shen & Joshua T. Vogelstein & Susan Athey, 2021. "Federated Causal Inference in Heterogeneous Observational Data," Papers 2107.11732, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
    10. Brown, Joe & Hamoudi, Amar & Jeuland, Marc & Turrini, Gina, 2017. "Seeing, believing, and behaving: Heterogeneous effects of an information intervention on household water treatment," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 141-159.
    11. Cattaneo, Cristina & D’Adda, Giovanna & Tavoni, Massimo & Bonan, Jacopo, 2019. "Can We Make Social Information Programs More Effective? The Role of Identity and Values," RFF Working Paper Series 19-21, Resources for the Future.
    12. Takanori Ida, Kayo Murakami, and Makoto Tanaka, 2016. "Electricity demand response in Japan: Experimental evidence from a residential photovoltaic power-generation system," Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    13. Martin Huber, 2012. "Identification of Average Treatment Effects in Social Experiments Under Alternative Forms of Attrition," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 37(3), pages 443-474, June.
    14. Villalobos Barría, Carlos & Klasen, Stephan, 2016. "The impact of SENAI's vocational training program on employment, wages, and mobility in Brazil: Lessons for Sub Saharan Africa?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 74-96.
    15. Sianesi, Barbara, 2017. "Evidence of randomisation bias in a large-scale social experiment: The case of ERA," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 198(1), pages 41-64.
    16. Flores, Carlos A. & Mitnik, Oscar A., 2009. "Evaluating Nonexperimental Estimators for Multiple Treatments: Evidence from Experimental Data," IZA Discussion Papers 4451, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    17. Papineau, Maya & Rivers, Nicholas, 2022. "Experimental evidence on heat loss visualization and personalized information to motivate energy savings," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    18. Rafael Perez Ribas & Fabio Veras Soares & Clarissa Gondim Teixeira & Elydia Silva & Guilherme Issamu Hirata, 2010. "Beyond Cash: Assessing Externality and Behaviour Effects of Non-Experimental Cash Transfers," Working Papers 65, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
    19. Adesina, Adedoyin & Akogun, Oladele & Dillon, Andrew & Friedman, Jed & Njobdi, Sani & Serneels, Pieter, 2017. "Robustness and External Validity: What do we Learn from Repeated Study Designs over Time?," 2018 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting, January 5-7, 2018, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 266292, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Denis Fougère & Nicolas Jacquemet, 2020. "Policy Evaluation Using Causal Inference Methods," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03455978, HAL.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:181:y:2018:i:4:p:1193-1209. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/rssssea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.