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A Critique of the Stochastic Discount Factor Methodology

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Author Info
Raymond Kan (University of Toronto,)
Guofu Zhou (Washington University in St. Louis)
Abstract

In this paper, we point out that the widely used stochastic discount factor (SDF) methodology ignores a fully specified model for asset returns. As a result, it suffers from two potential problems when asset returns follow a linear factor model. The first problem is that the risk premium estimate from the SDF methodology is unreliable. The second problem is that the specification test under the SDF methodology has very low power in detecting misspecified models. Traditional methodologies typically incorporate a fully specified model for asset returns, and they can perform substantially better than the SDF methodology. Copyright The American Finance Association 1999.

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Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal The Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 54 (1999)
Issue (Month): 4 (08)
Pages: 1221-1248
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:54:y:1999:i:4:p:1221-1248

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  1. Min-Hsien Chiang & Chihwa Kao, 2005. "Spectral Density Bandwidth Choice and Prewhitening in the Generalized Method of Moments Estimators for the Asset Pricing Model," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 3(10), pages 1-13. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Peter N Smith & Michael R Wickens, . "Asset Pricing with Observable Stochastic Discount Factors," Discussion Papers 02/03, Department of Economics, University of York. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Ravi Jagannathan & Zhenyu Wang, 2001. "Empirical Evaluation of Asset Pricing Models: A Comparison of the SDF and Beta Methods," NBER Working Papers 8098, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Jay Shanken & Guofu Zhou, 2006. "Estimating and Testing Beta Pricing Models: Alternative Methods and their Performance in Simulations," NBER Working Papers 12055, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Driessen, J. & Melenberg, B. & Nijman, T., 1999. "Testing affine term structure models in case of transaction costs," Discussion Paper 84, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Mike R Wickens and Peter N Smith, . "Macroeconmic Sources of FOREX Risk," Discussion Papers 01/13, Department of Economics, University of York. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Pierluigi Balduzzi & Cesare Robotti, 2005. "Mimicking portfolios, economic risk premia, and tests of multi-beta models," Working Paper 2005-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
  8. Raymond Kan & Cesare Robotti, 2006. "Specification tests of asset pricing models using excess returns," Working Paper 2006-10, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. [Downloadable!]
  9. Heber Farnsworth & Wayne E. Ferson & David Jackson & Steven Todd, 2002. "Performance Evaluation with Stochastic Discount Factors," NBER Working Papers 8791, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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