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A Granular View of the Australian Business Cycle

Author

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  • Jorge Miranda‐Pinto
  • Yuanting Shen

Abstract

We provide evidence supporting the hypothesis that idiosyncratic firm‐level shocks are important drivers of the Australian business cycle (granular hypothesis). We first document that the distribution of firm size in Australia is substantially asymmetric and follows a power‐law distribution with a long right tail. We then show that labour productivity shocks to the largest non‐financial firms in Australia account for about 20–40 per cent of the variation in Australian GDP growth over the period 2000–18. Besides energy sector firms, firms in the construction, transportation and consumer services sectors appear to be relevant drivers of GDP growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge Miranda‐Pinto & Yuanting Shen, 2019. "A Granular View of the Australian Business Cycle," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 95(311), pages 407-424, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:95:y:2019:i:311:p:407-424
    DOI: 10.1111/1475-4932.12495
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jannati, Sima & Korniotis, George & Kumar, Alok, 2020. "Big fish in a small pond: Locally dominant firms and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 219-240.
    2. Joachim Wagner & John P. Weche, 2020. "On the granularity of the German economy – first evidence from the top 100 companies panel database," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(21), pages 1768-1771, December.
    3. Murilo Silva & Sergio Da Silva, 2020. "The Brazilian granular business cycle," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 463-472.
    4. Carlos Melo Gouveia & Cristina Manteu & Sónia Cabral, 2020. "The granularity of Portuguese firm-level exports," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
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    1. Jannati, Sima & Korniotis, George & Kumar, Alok, 2020. "Big fish in a small pond: Locally dominant firms and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 219-240.
    2. Maia, Adriano & Oliveira, Guilherme De & Matsushita, Raul & Da Silva, Sergio, 2021. "The granularity of the Brazilian banking market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Jozef Konings & Galiya Sagyndykova & Venkat Subramanian & Astrid Volckaert, 2023. "The granular nature of emerging market economies: The case of Kazakhstan," Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(2), pages 429-464, April.

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