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Assessing the Skill of Yes/No Predictions

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  • William Briggs
  • David Ruppert

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  • William Briggs & David Ruppert, 2005. "Assessing the Skill of Yes/No Predictions," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 61(3), pages 799-807, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:biomet:v:61:y:2005:i:3:p:799-807
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/j.1541-0420.2005.00347.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kolb, R. A. & Stekler, H. O., 1993. "Are economic forecasts significantly better than naive predictions? An appropriate test," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 117-120, April.
    2. R. Winkler & Javier Muñoz & José Cervera & José Bernardo & Gail Blattenberger & Joseph Kadane & Dennis Lindley & Allan Murphy & Robert Oliver & David Ríos-Insua, 1996. "Scoring rules and the evaluation of probabilities," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 5(1), pages 1-60, June.
    3. Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
    4. Robert L. Winkler, 1994. "Evaluating Probabilities: Asymmetric Scoring Rules," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 40(11), pages 1395-1405, November.
    5. E. S. Venkatraman, 2000. "A Permutation Test to Compare Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 56(4), pages 1134-1138, December.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Thitithep Sitthiyot & Kanyarat Holasut, 2024. "A simple method for joint evaluation of skill in directional forecasts of multiple variables," Papers 2402.01142, arXiv.org.
    2. William M. Briggs & Russell Zaretzki, 2008. "The Skill Plot: A Graphical Technique for Evaluating Continuous Diagnostic Tests," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 64(1), pages 250-256, March.
    3. David J. Hand, 2008. "Comment," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 64(1), pages 259-259, March.
    4. William M. Briggs & Russell Zaretzki, 2008. "Rejoinder," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 64(1), pages 259-261, March.
    5. Thitithep Sitthiyot & Kanyarat Holasut, 2022. "On the Evaluation of Skill in Binary Forecast," Papers 2209.04686, arXiv.org.

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