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The Distribution of Criminal Offenses in an Urban Environment: A Spatial Analysis of Criminal Spillovers and of Juvenile Offenders

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  • Richard Fabrikant

Abstract

. In order to derive a basis for an optimal allocation of police manpower among contiguous communities criminal spillovers among these communities must be explicitly taken into account. Under the assumptions established in the economic theory of choice a criminal spillovers model is derived. The hypothesized variables within this model which serve as motivating factors for criminal spillovers are economic gain and competitive criminal pressures. Those factors which deter criminal spillovers are costs of committing offenses and the relative risks in committing crimes in distant communities. The model is then tested using data on juvenile offenders supplied by the City of Los Angeles, for the crimes of robbery, burglary and larceny. The results suggest that on an aggregate basis juvenile criminal behavior is not purely opportunistic and that certain control and motivating factors are significant in the juvenile's judgments for the spatial selection of offense targets.

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  • Richard Fabrikant, 1979. "The Distribution of Criminal Offenses in an Urban Environment: A Spatial Analysis of Criminal Spillovers and of Juvenile Offenders," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 31-47, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ajecsc:v:38:y:1979:i:1:p:31-47
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1536-7150.1979.tb02858.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gary S. Becker, 1974. "Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach," NBER Chapters, in: Essays in the Economics of Crime and Punishment, pages 1-54, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. George J. Stigler, 1974. "The Optimum Enforcement of Laws," NBER Chapters, in: Essays in the Economics of Crime and Punishment, pages 55-67, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Brown, William W. & Reynolds, Morgan O., 1973. "Crime and "punishment": Risk implications," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 6(5), pages 508-514, October.
    4. Ehrlich, Isaac, 1973. "Participation in Illegitimate Activities: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 521-565, May-June.
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    1. Joseph Deutsch & Simon Hakim & J. Weinblatt, 1984. "Interjurisdictional Criminal Mobility: A Theoretical Perspective," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 21(4), pages 451-458, November.
    2. Büttner, Thiess & Spengler, Hannes, 2003. "Local Determinants of Crime: Distinguishing between Resident and Non-Resident Offenders," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 37307, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).

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