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Structural Instability and the Production-Smoothing Model of Inventories

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Author Info
Rossana, Robert J

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Abstract

The production-smoothing model of inventories implies that inventories, labor inputs, sales, and factor input prices are cointegrated if sales and factor prices are I(1) with one cointegrating vector for each state variable held. These propositions are tested in six nondurable-goods industries. All industries provide evidence of cointegration. Fewer quasi-fixed factors are found than previous research often assumed. Estimates of cointegrating vectors provide implausible parameter estimates. Rank stability tests, with fixed or sequentially chosen breakpoints, indicate that the cointegrating matrix has unstable rank. Parameter estimates of cointegrating vectors do not provide much support for the production-smoothing model of inventories.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Statistical Association in its journal Journal of Business and Economic Statistics.

Volume (Year): 16 (1998)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 206-15
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Handle: RePEc:bes:jnlbes:v:16:y:1998:i:2:p:206-15

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  1. Louis J. Maccini & Bartholomew J. Moore & Huntley Schaller, 2004. "The Interest Rate, Learning, and Inventory Investment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(5), pages 1303-1327, December. [Downloadable!]
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  2. David G. Bivin, 2005. "Gauging the performance of the linear-quadratic inventory model," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(11), pages 1215-1231, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Anindya BANERJEE & Paul MIZEN, 2003. "A Re-interpretation of the Linear-Quadratic Model When Inventories and Sales are Polynomially Cointegrated," Economics Working Papers ECO2003/11, European University Institute. [Downloadable!]
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