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The impact of currency crises on economic growth and foreign direct investment: The analysis of emerging and developing economies

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  • Nurilla Abdushukurov

    (Westminster International University in Tashkent, Tashkent, Uzbekistan)

Abstract

In this paper, the discussion centers on the possible effects of currency crises on different economic indicators, with special attention to economic growth and foreign direct investment. There is insufficient research on this topic to draw any firm conclusions about the associations between currency crises and aforementioned variables. In fact, it appears that the impact of currency crises on economic growth and foreign direct investment is negative respectively. However, this study indicates that foreign direct investment can be positively correlated with currency crises as contrary to the common belief. The current study analyzes these relationships through dynamic panel models. The annual panel data for 71 emerging and developing countries are extracted from reliable databases for the time period of 2005–2014. Generalized method of moments estimators are used to obtain efficient and consistent results so as to reach necessary conclusions. The majority of estimated coefficients are significant and unbiased statistically, and also consistent with the economic theories proposed. The main results indicate that the presence of a currency crisis in a particular economy has a negative impact on economic growth, while its effect on foreign investment inflows is most likely positive. Robustness tests demonstrate that used models in the study are both economically and econometrically robust and valid.

Suggested Citation

  • Nurilla Abdushukurov, 2019. "The impact of currency crises on economic growth and foreign direct investment: The analysis of emerging and developing economies," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 5(3), pages 220-250, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:arh:jrujec:v:5:y:2019:i:3:p:220-250
    DOI: 10.32609/j.ruje.5.38073
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gian Maria Milesi Ferretti & Assaf Razin, 2000. "Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises: Empirical Regularities," NBER Chapters, in: Currency Crises, pages 285-323, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Erdal Demirhan & Mahmut Masca, 2008. "Determinants of foreign direct investment flows to developing countries: a cross-sectional analysis," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2008(4), pages 356-369.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    currency crises; economic growth; foreign direct investment; exchange market pressure index; generalized method of moments.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • G0 - Financial Economics - - General
    • O2 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy

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