Linking Money Supply With The Gross Domestic Product In Romania
AbstractEvolution of money supply and gross domestic product are in a close relationship, inthis paper we analysis this relationship in order to construct a function which will explicit thisconnection for Romania. Evolution of gross domestic product is one with a seasonal component sofrom the data series we will be eliminating seasonality with the X-12 ARIMA method. Analyzing thedata of money supply (M3) and of GDP over ten years through the Augmented Dickey-Fuller weobtained that both series are non-stationary. Applying the co-integration analysis method Engle-Granger we conclude that the two series have a cointegration relationship between them. We willpropose a model explanation of the link between the two sets of data type, a DVAR model.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Faculty of Sciences, "1 Decembrie 1918" University, Alba Iulia in its journal Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica.
Volume (Year): 1 (2010)
Issue (Month): 12 ()
Contact details of provider:
money supply (M3); GDP; seasonality; stationarity; cointegration; DVAR.;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
- C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
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- Pop Silaghi, Monica Ioana, 2009. "Exports-Economic Growth Causality: Evidence from CEE Countries," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 6(2), pages 105-117, June.
- Ozturk, Ilhan & Acaravci, Ali, 2008. "The Demand for Money in Transition Economies," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 5(2), pages 35-43, June.
- Bernd Hayo, 2000.
"The demand for money in Austria,"
Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 581-603.
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