IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ahs/journl/v7y2022i1p16-31.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Effect of Positive and Negative Events on Cryptocurrency Prices

Author

Listed:
  • Emrah Öget

Abstract

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have become a new topic for financial studies. In this study, the effects of positive and negative events related to cryptocurrencies on the prices of related cryptocurrencies were researched using the event study. These events include major listing, delisting and airdrop announcements, and SEC enforcements. As a result of the analysis, 22 significant abnormal return values related to negative events and eight significant abnormal return values related to positive events were determined at 1% significance level within the event window (-5, +10). Therefore, it has been determined that negative events have more effect on cryptocurrencies than positive events. The number of significant cumulative abnormal return values obtained (13 for negative events, three for positive events) also supports these results. The results of the study have crucial implications for investors, centralized cryptocurrency exchanges, and cryptocurrency CEOs. Even after the negative events were announced publicly, pull out of the market will prevent investors from making more losses. In addition, it is recommended that investors sell for profits in case of a rapid high return on the day of the listing announcement. Because it was determined that the prices returned to the equilibrium prices at the closing.

Suggested Citation

  • Emrah Öget, 2022. "The Effect of Positive and Negative Events on Cryptocurrency Prices," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 7(1), pages 16-31.
  • Handle: RePEc:ahs:journl:v:7:y:2022:i:1:p:16-31
    DOI: 10.30784/epfad.1011204
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/2032416
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.30784/epfad.1011204?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mohammad Hashemi Joo & Yuka Nishikawa & Krishnan Dandapani, 2020. "Announcement effects in the cryptocurrency market," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(44), pages 4794-4808, September.
    2. Yutaka Kurihara & Akio Fukushima, 2017. "The Market Efficiency of Bitcoin: A Weekly Anomaly Perspective," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 7(3), pages 1-4.
    3. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    4. Nadarajah, Saralees & Chu, Jeffrey, 2017. "On the inefficiency of Bitcoin," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 6-9.
    5. Raphael Auer & Stijn Claessens, 2018. "Regulating cryptocurrencies: assessing market reactions," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
    6. Rodrigo Saens & Eduardo Sandoval, 2005. "Measuring Security Price Performance Using Chilean Daily Stock Returns: The Event Study Method," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 42(126), pages 307-328.
    7. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    8. Dyckman, T & Philbrick, D & Stephan, J, 1984. "A Comparison Of Event Study Methodologies Using Daily Stock Returns - A Simulation Approach," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22, pages 1-30.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ante, Lennart, 2023. "How Elon Musk's Twitter activity moves cryptocurrency markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 186(PA).
    2. Monica Martinez-Blasco & Vanessa Serrano & Francesc Prior & Jordi Cuadros, 2023. "Analysis of an event study using the Fama–French five-factor model: teaching approaches including spreadsheets and the R programming language," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-34, December.
    3. Umar, Muhammad & Riaz, Yasir & Yousaf, Imran, 2022. "Impact of Russian-Ukraine war on clean energy, conventional energy, and metal markets: Evidence from event study approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Benjamin Kleidt & Eckhard Scharmer & Dirk Schiereck, 2009. "Desinvestitionen von Aktienpaketen — Eine Analyse von Exchangeable Bonds," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 61(7), pages 738-780, November.
    5. Ding, Li & Lam, Hugo K.S. & Cheng, T.C.E. & Zhou, Honggeng, 2018. "A review of short-term event studies in operations and supply chain management," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 329-342.
    6. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2019. "A Survey on Efficiency and Profitable Trading Opportunities in Cryptocurrency Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-17, April.
    7. Andrea Flori, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies In Finance: Review And Applications," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(05), pages 1-22, August.
    8. Truzaar Dordi & Olaf Weber, 2019. "The Impact of Divestment Announcements on the Share Price of Fossil Fuel Stocks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-20, June.
    9. Nils Bundi & Marc Wildi, 2019. "Bitcoin and market-(in)efficiency: a systematic time series approach," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 47-65, November.
    10. Yassin Denis Bouzzine & Rainer Lueg, 2020. "The contagion effect of environmental violations: The case of Dieselgate in Germany," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(8), pages 3187-3202, December.
    11. Jose Manuel Feria-Dominguez & Enrique Jimenez-Rodriguez & Ines Merino Fernandez-Galiano, 2013. "Isolating the corporate reputational risk in environmental oil spill disasters," Working Papers 13.02, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Financial Economics and Accounting (former Department of Business Administration).
    12. Ahmad Chokor & Élise Alfieri, 2021. "Long and short-term impacts of regulation in the cryptocurrency market," Post-Print hal-03275473, HAL.
    13. Chokor, Ahmad & Alfieri, Elise, 2021. "Long and short-term impacts of regulation in the cryptocurrency market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 157-173.
    14. Foecking, Nico & Wang, Mei & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc, 2021. "How do investors react to the data breaches news? Empirical evidence from Facebook Inc. during the years 2016–2019," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    15. José M. Feria-Domínguez & Enrique Jiménez-Rodríguez & Inés Merino Fdez-Galiano, 2016. "Financial Perceptions on Oil Spill Disasters: Isolating Corporate Reputational Risk," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-15, November.
    16. Marco Stringa & Allan Monks, 2007. "Inter-industry contagion between UK life insurers and UK banks: an event study," Bank of England working papers 325, Bank of England.
    17. Olga Hawn & Aaron K. Chatterji & Will Mitchell, 2018. "Do investors actually value sustainability? New evidence from investor reactions to the Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI)," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(4), pages 949-976, April.
    18. Christie Smith & Aaron Kumar, 2018. "Crypto‐Currencies – An Introduction To Not‐So‐Funny Moneys," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(5), pages 1531-1559, December.
    19. Camille Baulant & Nivine Albouz, 2021. "Has financial globalization since 1990 reduced income inequality: the role of rating announcements on the volatility and the returns of the Brazilian Financial Market [Les annonces de notation souv," Working Papers hal-03258994, HAL.
    20. Carlo Rosa & Giovanni Verga, 2006. "The Impact of Central Bank Announcements on Asset Prices in Real Time: Testing the Efficiency of the Euribor Futures Market," CEP Discussion Papers dp0764, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Event Study; Cryptocurrency; Abnormal Return; Altcoin;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ahs:journl:v:7:y:2022:i:1:p:16-31. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ersan Ersoy (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://epfjournal.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.