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Real Effects of Sovereign Debt Inflow Shocks

Author

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  • Lorenzo Pandolfi
  • Tomas Williams

Abstract

This paper analyzes the real effects on firms of sovereign debt inflow shocks in emerging countries. We follow Broner et al. (2019) and exploit six episodes of country inclusions into two major local currency sovereign debt indexes. We complement their evidence by analyzing real variables and find that government-related and financial firms experience larger growth in income, employment, and dividends, relative to tradable firms, in the three years following sovereign debt inflow shocks. Our findings suggest that capital inflows to sovereign debt markets can hamper exports and benefit financial and service-based firms, thus reshaping the domestic economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorenzo Pandolfi & Tomas Williams, 2020. "Real Effects of Sovereign Debt Inflow Shocks," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 110, pages 511-515, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:apandp:v:110:y:2020:p:511-15
    DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20201010
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fredy Gamboa-Estrada & Andrés Sánchez-Jabba, 2022. "The Effects of Foreign Investor Composition on Colombia’s Sovereign Debt Flows," Borradores de Economia 1222, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Antonelli, Stefano & Corneli, Flavia & Ferriani, Fabrizio & Gazzani, Andrea, 2022. "Benchmark effects from the inclusion of Chinese A-shares in the MSCI EM index," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    3. Nick Sander, 2023. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Portfolio Equity Inflows," Staff Working Papers 23-31, Bank of Canada.
    4. Mariya Gubareva, 2021. "Covid-19 and high-yield emerging market bonds: insights for liquidity risk management," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(3), pages 193-212, September.
    5. Broner, Fernando & Martin, Alberto & Pandolfi, Lorenzo & Williams, Tomas, 2021. "Winners and losers from sovereign debt inflows," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    6. Lucas A. Mariani & Silvia Marchesi, 2023. "International Lending Channel, Bank Heterogeneity and Capital Inflows (Mis)Allocation," Working Papers 887, Economic Research Southern Africa.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G35 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Payout Policy
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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