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Trucks without Bailouts: Equilibrium Product Characteristics for Commercial Vehicles

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  • Thomas G. Wollmann

Abstract

The entry and exit of products, rather than firms, serve as the main equilibrating force in many markets, so accurately predicting changes from a merger or bankruptcy should incorporate this behavior. This paper estimates a structural model of the US commercial vehicle market and demonstrates the importance of allowing for endogenous product offerings in the context of the $85 billion automotive industry bailout in 2009. Under alternate policies that facilitate an acquisition or liquidation of GM and Chrysler, product entry and exit moderate markup increases and output decreases by up to three-quarters.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas G. Wollmann, 2018. "Trucks without Bailouts: Equilibrium Product Characteristics for Commercial Vehicles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(6), pages 1364-1406, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:108:y:2018:i:6:p:1364-1406
    Note: DOI: 10.1257/aer.20160863
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance
    • H81 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - Governmental Loans; Loan Guarantees; Credits; Grants; Bailouts
    • L13 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Oligopoly and Other Imperfect Markets
    • L62 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Automobiles; Other Transportation Equipment; Related Parts and Equipment

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