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Coherent Forecasting Of Mortality Rates: A Sparse Vector-Autoregression Approach

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  2. Hong Li & Yang Lu & Pintao Lyu, 2021. "Coherent Mortality Forecasting for Less Developed Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-21, August.
  3. David Atance & Eliseo Navarro, 2025. "Revisiting key mortality rate models: novel findings and application of CIR processes to describe mortality trends," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 48(2), pages 1093-1130, December.
  4. Blake, David & Cairns, Andrew J.G., 2021. "Longevity risk and capital markets: The 2019-20 update," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 395-439.
  5. Paul Doukhan & Joseph Rynkiewicz & Yahia Salhi, 2021. "Optimal Neighborhood Selection for AR-ARCH Random Fields with Application to Mortality," Stats, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-26, December.
  6. Nhan Huynh & Mike Ludkovski, 2021. "Joint Models for Cause-of-Death Mortality in Multiple Populations," Papers 2111.06631, arXiv.org.
  7. Arnold, Séverine & Glushko, Viktoriya, 2021. "Cause-specific mortality rates: Common trends and differences," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 294-308.
  8. Cuixia Liu & Yanlin Shi, 2023. "Extensions of the Lee–Carter model to project the data‐driven rotation of age‐specific mortality decline and forecast coherent mortality rates," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 813-834, July.
  9. Thilini Dulanjali Kularatne & Jackie Li & Yanlin Shi, 2022. "Forecasting Mortality Rates with a Two-Step LASSO Based Vector Autoregressive Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-23, November.
  10. Guibert, Quentin & Pincemin, Gaëlle & Planchet, Frédéric, 2026. "Impact of climate change on mortality: An extrapolation of temperature effects based on time series data in France," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 359-413.
  11. Jackie Li & Jia Liu & Adam Butt, 2024. "A systematic vector autoregressive framework for modeling and forecasting mortality," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 2279-2297, September.
  12. Li, Runze & Zhou, Rui & Pitt, David, 2026. "Beyond annual data: Mortality forecasting with mixed frequency data," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  13. Hong Li & Yanlin Shi, 2021. "Mortality Forecasting with an Age-Coherent Sparse VAR Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-19, February.
  14. Guibert, Quentin & Lopez, Olivier & Piette, Pierrick, 2019. "Forecasting mortality rate improvements with a high-dimensional VAR," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 255-272.
  15. Feng, Lingbing & Shi, Yanlin & Chang, Le, 2021. "Forecasting mortality with a hyperbolic spatial temporal VAR model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 255-273.
  16. Jérôme Weiss, 2025. "Short-Term Effects of Extreme Heat, Cold, and Air Pollution Episodes on Excess Mortality in Luxembourg," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 22(3), pages 1-20, March.
  17. Boonen, Tim J. & Chen, Yuhuai, 2026. "VAR Model with Sparse Group LASSO for Multi-population Mortality Forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 259-280.
  18. Jose Garrido & Yuxiang Shang & Ran Xu, 2024. "LSTM-Based Coherent Mortality Forecasting for Developing Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-24, February.
  19. Jarner, Søren F. & Jallbjørn, Snorre, 2020. "Pitfalls and merits of cointegration-based mortality models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 80-93.
  20. Li, Hong & Tan, Ken Seng & Tuljapurkar, Shripad & Zhu, Wenjun, 2021. "Gompertz law revisited: Forecasting mortality with a multi-factor exponential model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 268-281.
  21. Cupido, Kyran & Jevtić, Petar & Paez, Antonio, 2020. "Spatial patterns of mortality in the United States: A spatial filtering approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 28-38.
  22. Li, Hong & Shi, Yanlin, 2021. "Forecasting mortality with international linkages: A global vector-autoregression approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 59-75.
  23. Chen, Ze & Li, Hong & Mao, Yu & Zhou, Kenneth Q., 2025. "Learning from COVID-19: A catastrophe mortality bond solution in the post-pandemic era," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
  24. Yanlin Shi, 2021. "Forecasting mortality rates with the adaptive spatial temporal autoregressive model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 528-546, April.
  25. Kyran Cupido & Petar Jevtić & Tim J. Boonen, 2024. "Space, mortality, and economic growth," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1321-1337, August.
  26. Yanlin Shi & Sixian Tang & Jackie Li, 2020. "A Two-Population Extension of the Exponential Smoothing State Space Model with a Smoothing Penalisation Scheme," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-18, June.
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