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Inflation et croissance du revenu réel par tête dans l’espace CEDEAO selon l’appartenance à l’UEMOA

Author

Listed:
  • Etienne Fakaba SISSOKO

    (Centre de Recherche et d’Analyses Politiques, Economiques et Sociales (CRAPES), Université des Sciences Sociales et de Gestion de Bamako)

Abstract

Cet article examine l’association entre inflation retardée et la croissance du revenu réel par tête dans quinze pays de la CEDEAO entre 1997 et 2024, ainsi que son hétérogénéité selon l’appartenance à l’UEMOA. Des modèles à effets fixes pays et année intègrent les investissements directs étrangers, l’ouverture commerciale, l’investis­sement total, l’état de droit et la stabilité politique. Dans les pays non membres de l’UEMOA, l’inflation est associée à une baisse significative de la croissance ; le terme d’interaction indique une pente plus négative dans les pays membres. Le signe des coefficients centraux demeure stable dans les principales vérifications, sans établir d’effet causal du régime UEMOA.

Suggested Citation

Handle: RePEc:rta:retajr:1615
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JEL classification:

  • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
  • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
  • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
  • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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