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Dealing with Complexity in Uncertain Environments: Wargaming in Transition

In: Inventing the Almost Impossible

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel F. Oriesek

  • David T. Song

    (Stanford University)

Abstract

In times of uncertainty and high complexity, business wargaming provides an opportunity to improve decision-making by focusing on the key drivers of developments and practically exploring the future in an experience-based way. The method is in essence a qualitative approach, ideally augmented with quantitative control variables. In such a combination, business wargaming will not only capture the human dynamics of competition but also describe the resulting effects of decisions quantitatively. The aim of this chapter is to provide the reader with an overview of the current state and recent developments in the field of business wargaming while taking a cautious look at what may lie ahead given the recent advances in technology. Furthermore, this chapter provides insights into practical aspects of game design, the selection, and background of participants, the importance of moderation and coaching, the potential of technology, as well as the need for good control models and an after-action review process.

Suggested Citation

Handle: RePEc:spr:fuobcp:978-3-031-36224-8_6
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-36224-8_6
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