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Steven Winthrop Popper

Personal Details

First Name:Steven
Middle Name:Winthrop
Last Name:Popper
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:ppo813
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]
Av. Revolución 756 Mixcoac, Benito Juárez 03700 Ciudad de México MEXICO
Terminal Degree:1985 Department of Economics; University of California-Berkeley (from RePEc Genealogy)

Affiliation

(90%) Escuela de Gobierno y Transformación Pública (EGOByTP)
Instituto Tecnológico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey (ITESM)

Monterrey, Mexico
https://egobiernoytp.tec.mx/
RePEc:edi:emitemx (more details at EDIRC)

(10%) RAND

Santa Monica, California (United States)
http://www.rand.org/
RePEc:edi:randdus (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles Books

Working papers

  1. Edmundo Molina-Perez & Pedro Cortes & Isaac Molina & Fernanda Sobrino & Mario Tellez & Yessica Orozco & Mitzi Castellón & Steven Popper & Luis Serra & Fabian Fuentes-Rivas, 2025. "The Impact of Artificial Intelligent Tools on Decision Making Behavioral and Neural Dynamics," Working Paper Series of the School of Government and Public Transformation 8, School of Governement and Public Transformation.
  2. Steven W. Popper & Jose Antonio Torre & Eduardo Armando & Roberto Ponce Lopez, 2025. "Adequate and Affordable Housing for 2040 Metropolitan Monterrey: Applying Participatory Foresight," Working Paper Series of the School of Government and Public Transformation 16, School of Governement and Public Transformation.

Articles

  1. Jessika E. Trancik & Erin Baker & Gregory Nemet & Magdalena M. Klemun & Rebecca J. Hanes & Kavita Surana & Doug Arent & Samuel F. Baldwin & Steven A. Gabriel & Steven W. Popper & Valentina Bosetti & M, 2025. "Informed investments in clean energy technologies," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 10(12), pages 1404-1411, December.
  2. Steven W. Popper & Robert J. Lempert & Paul K. Davis & Tim McDonald, 2021. "Forecasts and decisions: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(2), June.
  3. Robert J. Lempert & David G. Groves & Steven W. Popper & Steve C. Bankes, 2006. "A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(4), pages 514-528, April.
  4. Steven W. Popper & Caroline S. Wagner, 2003. "Identifying critical technologies in the United States: a review of the federal effort," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2-3), pages 113-128.
  5. Popper, Steven W., 1991. "From marx to the market : , New York: Oxford Univ. Press, 1990. 177 pp, index, $39.95," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 515-517, September.
  6. Popper, Steven W., 1988. "Technical progress and soviet economic development : , Eds. Oxford: Blackwell, 1986. 214 pp., index. $45.00," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 420-423, September.
  7. Popper, Steven W., 1986. "The regional economic impact of technological change : , New York: St. Martin's, 1985. 249 pp, index. $29.95," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 204-206, June.

Books

  1. Vincent A. W. J. Marchau & Warren E. Walker & Pieter J. T. M. Bloemen & Steven W. Popper (ed.), 2019. "Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-030-05252-2, March.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

    Sorry, no citations of working papers recorded.

Articles

  1. Robert J. Lempert & David G. Groves & Steven W. Popper & Steve C. Bankes, 2006. "A General, Analytic Method for Generating Robust Strategies and Narrative Scenarios," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(4), pages 514-528, April.

    Cited by:

    1. Jlenia Di Noia, 2022. "Agent-Based Models for Climate Change Adaptation in Coastal Zones. A Review," Working Papers 2022.20, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    2. Mohammad M. Khabbazan, 2022. "Cost-Risk Analysis Reconsidered—Value of Information on the Climate Sensitivity in the Integrated Assessment Model PRICE," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-17, June.
    3. Joly, Frédéric & Benoit, Marc & Martin, Raphael & Dumont, Bertrand, 2021. "Biological operability, a new concept based on ergonomics to assess the pertinence of ecosystem services optimization practices," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. World Bank, 2014. "Climate Change Public Expenditure and Institutional Review Sourcebook," World Bank Publications - Reports 37953, The World Bank Group.
    5. Baker, Erin & Bosetti, Valentina & Salo, Ahti, "undated". "Finding Common Ground when Experts Disagree: Belief Dominance over Portfolios of Alternatives," MITP: Mitigation, Innovation and Transformation Pathways 243147, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    6. Xiaoting Ji & Yifeng Niu & Lincheng Shen, 2016. "Robust Satisficing Decision Making for Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Complex Missions under Severe Uncertainty," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(11), pages 1-35, November.
    7. Durbach, Ian N. & Stewart, Theodor J., 2012. "Modeling uncertainty in multi-criteria decision analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 223(1), pages 1-14.
    8. Seeve, Teemu & Vilkkumaa, Eeva & Morton, Alec, 2025. "A structured framework for supporting the participatory development of consensual scenario narratives," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 327(2), pages 540-558.
    9. Simon Dietz & Samuel Fankhauser, 2009. "Environmental prices, uncertainty and learning," GRI Working Papers 10, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    10. Eker, Sibel & van Daalen, Els, 2015. "A model-based analysis of biomethane production in the Netherlands and the effectiveness of the subsidization policy under uncertainty," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 178-196.
    11. McJeon, Haewon C. & Clarke, Leon & Kyle, Page & Wise, Marshall & Hackbarth, Andrew & Bryant, Benjamin P. & Lempert, Robert J., 2011. "Technology interactions among low-carbon energy technologies: What can we learn from a large number of scenarios?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 619-631, July.
    12. Simona Mannucci & Federica Rosso & Alessandro D’Amico & Gabriele Bernardini & Michele Morganti, 2022. "Flood Resilience and Adaptation in the Built Environment: How Far along Are We?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-22, March.
    13. Patrick Ray & Sungwook Wi & Andrew Schwarz & Matthew Correa & Minxue He & Casey Brown, 2020. "Vulnerability and risk: climate change and water supply from California’s Central Valley water system," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 161(1), pages 177-199, July.
    14. Luciano Raso & Jan Kwakkel & Jos Timmermans & Geremy Panthou, 2019. "How to evaluate a monitoring system for adaptive policies: criteria for signposts selection and their model-based evaluation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 153(1), pages 267-283, March.
    15. Pfenninger, Stefan & Keirstead, James, 2015. "Renewables, nuclear, or fossil fuels? Scenarios for Great Britain’s power system considering costs, emissions and energy security," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 83-93.
    16. Nicola Campigotto & Marco Catola & Andrè Cieplinksi & Simone D'Alessandro & Tiziano Distefano & Pietro Guarnieri & Till Heydenreich, 2024. "Scenario discovery for a just low-carbon transition," Discussion Papers 2024/304, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
    17. Erik Pruyt & Jan H. Kwakkel, 2014. "Radicalization under deep uncertainty: a multi-model exploration of activism, extremism, and terrorism," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 30(1-2), pages 1-28, January.
    18. Evgenii Matrosov & Silvia Padula & Julien Harou, 2013. "Selecting Portfolios of Water Supply and Demand Management Strategies Under Uncertainty—Contrasting Economic Optimisation and ‘Robust Decision Making’ Approaches," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(4), pages 1123-1148, March.
    19. Raffaello Cervigni & Rikard Liden & James E. Neumann & Kenneth M. Strzepek, 2015. "Enhancing the Climate Resilience of Africa's Infrastructure," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 21875, April.
    20. Hurford, A.P. & Harou, J.J. & Bonzanigo, L. & Ray, P.A. & Karki, P. & Bharati, L. & Chinnasamy, P., 2020. "Efficient and robust hydropower system design under uncertainty - A demonstration in Nepal," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    21. Julia Reis & Julie Shortridge, 2022. "Robust decision outcomes with induced correlations in climatic and economic parameters," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 1-23, January.
    22. Decker, Christopher, 2018. "Utility and regulatory decision-making under conditions of uncertainty: Balancing resilience and affordability," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 51-60.
    23. Klibi, Walid & Martel, Alain & Guitouni, Adel, 2010. "The design of robust value-creating supply chain networks: A critical review," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 283-293, June.
    24. Sanjib Sharma & Rocky Talchabhadel & Santosh Nepal & Ganesh R. Ghimire & Biplob Rakhal & Jeeban Panthi & Basanta R. Adhikari & Soni M. Pradhanang & Shreedhar Maskey & Saurav Kumar, 2023. "Increasing risk of cascading hazards in the central Himalayas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(2), pages 1117-1126, November.
    25. Vladimir A. Masch, 2017. "¡°Shifting the Paradigm¡± in Superintelligence," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 8, pages 17-30, May.
    26. William Mobley & Kayode O. Atoba & Wesley E. Highfield, 2020. "Uncertainty in Flood Mitigation Practices: Assessing the Economic Benefits of Property Acquisition and Elevation in Flood-Prone Communities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-14, March.
    27. Vilkkumaa, Eeva & Liesiö, Juuso & Salo, Ahti & Ilmola-Sheppard, Leena, 2018. "Scenario-based portfolio model for building robust and proactive strategies," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 266(1), pages 205-220.
    28. Toman Michael, 2014. "The need for multiple types of information to inform climate change assessment," Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 5(3), pages 469-485, December.
    29. Steven W. Popper & Robert J. Lempert & Paul K. Davis & Tim McDonald, 2021. "Forecasts and decisions: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(2), June.
    30. Bas Aarle & Cindy Moons, 2017. "Sentiment and Uncertainty Fluctuations and Their Effects on the Euro Area Business Cycle," Journal of Business Cycle Research, Springer;Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET), vol. 13(2), pages 225-251, November.
    31. Nawfal BAHHA & Imane El KARTIT, 2021. "How to Reduce Uncertainty in Supply Chains? The Role of the Interactive Control Lever," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(6), pages 1-68, June.
    32. Kwakkel, Jan H. & Pruyt, Erik, 2013. "Exploratory Modeling and Analysis, an approach for model-based foresight under deep uncertainty," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 419-431.
    33. Robert Lempert & Shawn McKay, 2011. "Some thoughts on the role of robust control theory in climate-related decision support," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 107(3), pages 241-246, August.
    34. Densing, M. & Panos, E. & Hirschberg, S., 2016. "Meta-analysis of energy scenario studies: Example of electricity scenarios for Switzerland," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 998-1015.
    35. Loic Berger & Massimo Marinacci, 2017. "Model Uncertainty in Climate Change Economics," Working Papers 616, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    36. Alan H. Sanstad, 2015. "Abating Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Electric Power Generation: Model Uncertainty and Regulatory Epistemology," The Journal of Legal Studies, University of Chicago Press, vol. 44(S2), pages 423-445.
    37. Quentin Perrier, 2017. "The French nuclear bet," Policy Papers 2017.01, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    38. Klibi, Walid & Martel, Alain, 2012. "Scenario-based Supply Chain Network risk modeling," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 223(3), pages 644-658.
    39. Loïc Berger & Johannes Emmerling & Massimo Tavoni, 2017. "Managing Catastrophic Climate Risks Under Model Uncertainty Aversion," Post-Print hal-03027150, HAL.
    40. Firas H. Al-Hammadany & Almas Heshmati, 2011. "Analysis of the Purpose of Using Internet in Iraq: A Multinomial Logit Model," Journal of Knowledge Management, Economics and Information Technology, ScientificPapers.org, vol. 1(6), pages 1-41, October.
    41. Di Noia, Jlenia, "undated". "Agent-Based Models for Climate Change Adaptation in Coastal Zones. A Review," FEEM Working Papers 322810, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    42. Elmar Kriegler & Brian-C O'Neill & Stéphane Hallegatte & Tom Kram & Richard-H Moss & Robert Lempert & Thomas J Wilbanks, 2010. "Socio-economic Scenario Development for Climate Change Analysis," Working Papers hal-00866437, HAL.
    43. Steinmann, Patrick & Auping, Willem L. & Kwakkel, Jan H., 2020. "Behavior-based scenario discovery using time series clustering," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    44. Phoebe Koundouri & Nikitas Pittis & Panagiotis Samartzis & Nikolaos Englezos & Andreas Papandreou, 2017. "Alternative Types of Ambiguity and their Effects on Climate Change Regulation," DEOS Working Papers 1706, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    45. Carmela Mariano & Marsia Marino & Giovanna Pisacane & Gianmaria Sannino, 2021. "Sea Level Rise and Coastal Impacts: Innovation and Improvement of the Local Urban Plan for a Climate-Proof Adaptation Strategy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-21, February.
    46. Hidayatno, Akhmad & Jafino, Bramka Arga & Setiawan, Andri D. & Purwanto, Widodo Wahyu, 2020. "When and why does transition fail? A model-based identification of adoption barriers and policy vulnerabilities for transition to natural gas vehicles," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    47. Xueguo Xu & Chen Xu & Wenxin Zhang, 2022. "Research on the Destruction Resistance of Giant Urban Rail Transit Network from the Perspective of Vulnerability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-26, June.
    48. C Ram & G Montibeller & A Morton, 2011. "Extending the use of scenario planning and MCDA for the evaluation of strategic options," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 62(5), pages 817-829, May.
    49. Barbose, Galen & Wiser, Ryan & Phadke, Amol & Goldman, Charles, 2008. "Managing carbon regulatory risk in utility resource planning: Current practices in the Western United States," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 3300-3311, September.
    50. Julie E. Shortridge & Benjamin F. Zaitchik, 2018. "Characterizing climate change risks by linking robust decision frameworks and uncertain probabilistic projections," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 525-539, December.
    51. Shavazipour, Babooshka & Stewart, Theodor J., 2026. "A novel multi-stage multi-scenario multi-objective optimisation framework for adaptive robust decision-making under deep uncertainty," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    52. Delf Neubersch & Hermann Held & Alexander Otto, 2014. "Operationalizing climate targets under learning: An application of cost-risk analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 126(3), pages 305-318, October.
    53. Neuvonen, Lauri & Wildemeersch, Matthias & Vilkkumaa, Eeva, 2023. "Supporting strategy selection in multiobjective decision problems under uncertainty and hidden requirements," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 307(1), pages 279-293.
    54. Judy Lawrence & Robert Bell & Adolf Stroombergen, 2019. "A Hybrid Process to Address Uncertainty and Changing Climate Risk in Coastal Areas Using Dynamic Adaptive Pathways Planning, Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis & Real Options Analysis: A New Zealand Application," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.
    55. Rosina Bierbaum & Joel Smith & Arthur Lee & Maria Blair & Lynne Carter & F. Chapin & Paul Fleming & Susan Ruffo & Missy Stults & Shannon McNeeley & Emily Wasley & Laura Verduzco, 2013. "A comprehensive review of climate adaptation in the United States: more than before, but less than needed," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 18(3), pages 361-406, March.
    56. Patrick Smith & Matthew Ferringer & Ryan Kelly & Inki Min, 2012. "Budget‐constrained portfolio trades using multiobjective optimization," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(4), pages 461-470, December.
    57. Susan Stratton Sayre & Rachel Goodhue & Leo Simon, "undated". "Probabilistic Political Viability: A Methodology for Predictive Political Economy," Working Papers 2012-01, Smith College, Department of Economics.
    58. Leslie Paul Thiele, 2020. "Integrating political and technological uncertainty into robust climate policy," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(1), pages 521-538, November.
    59. Jeppe Rich, 2026. "Let’s walk! The fallacy of urban first- and last-mile public transport," Transportation, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 511-533, February.
    60. Viera, Oscar & Malekpour, Shirin, 2020. "An analysis of adaptive planning capacity: The case of chilean water utilities," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    61. Stéphane Hallegatte & Ankur Shah & Robert Lempert & Casey Brown & Stuart Gill, 2012. "Investment decision-making under deep uncertainty - application to climate change," Post-Print hal-00802049, HAL.
    62. Julie Rozenberg & Céline Guivarch & Robert Lempert & Stéphane Hallegatte, 2014. "Building SSPs for climate policy analysis: a scenario elicitation methodology to map the space of possible future challenges to mitigation and adaptation," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 122(3), pages 509-522, February.
    63. Roy, Bernard, 2010. "Robustness in operational research and decision aiding: A multi-faceted issue," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 200(3), pages 629-638, February.
    64. Casey Helgeson & Robert E. Nicholas & Klaus Keller & Chris E. Forest & Nancy Tuana, 2022. "Attention to values helps shape convergence research," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 170(1), pages 1-19, January.
    65. Caballero, William N. & Lunday, Brian J. & Deckro, Richard F. & Pachter, Meir N., 2020. "Informing national security policy by modeling adversarial inducement and its governance," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    66. World Bank, 2010. "Economic Evaluation of Climate Change Adaptation Projects," World Bank Publications - Reports 27752, The World Bank Group.
    67. Kwakkel, J.H. & Cunningham, S.C., 2016. "Improving scenario discovery by bagging random boxes," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 124-134.
    68. Junyu Zhang & Dafang Fu & Christian Urich & Rajendra Prasad Singh, 2018. "Accelerated Exploration for Long-Term Urban Water Infrastructure Planning through Machine Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, December.
    69. Student, Jillian & Kramer, Mark R. & Steinmann, Patrick, 2020. "Simulating emerging coastal tourism vulnerabilities: an agent-based modelling approach," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    70. Patrice Dumas & Stephane Hallegatte & Jean-Charles Hourcade, 2010. "A Note on the Economic Cost of Climate Change and the Rationale to Limit it Below 2°C," World Bank Publications - Reports 19943, The World Bank Group.
    71. T. D. Pol & S. Gabbert & H.-P. Weikard & E. C. Ierland & E. M. T. Hendrix, 2017. "A Minimax Regret Analysis of Flood Risk Management Strategies Under Climate Change Uncertainty and Emerging Information," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 68(4), pages 1087-1109, December.
    72. Baptiste Perrissin Fabert & Antonin Pottier & Etienne Espagne & Patrice Dumas & Franck Nadaud, 2014. "Why are climate policies of the present decade so crucial for keeping the 2 °C target credible?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 126(3), pages 337-349, October.
    73. Hamel, Perrine & Bryant, Benjamin P., 2017. "Uncertainty assessment in ecosystem services analyses: Seven challenges and practical responses," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 1-15.
    74. Hörl, Jakob & Keller, Klaus & Yousefpour, Rasoul, 2020. "Reviewing the performance of adaptive forest management strategies with robustness analysis," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    75. Jim W. Hall & Robert J. Lempert & Klaus Keller & Andrew Hackbarth & Christophe Mijere & David J. McInerney, 2012. "Robust Climate Policies Under Uncertainty: A Comparison of Robust Decision Making and Info‐Gap Methods," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(10), pages 1657-1672, October.
    76. Say, Kelvin & John, Michele & Dargaville, Roger, 2019. "Power to the people: Evolutionary market pressures from residential PV battery investments in Australia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    77. Céline Guivarch & Julie Rozenberg & Vanessa Schweizer, 2016. "The diversity of socio-economic pathways and CO2 emissions scenarios: Insights from the investigation of a scenarios database," Post-Print halshs-01292901, HAL.
    78. Tsao, Yu-Chung & Thanh, Vo-Van & Lu, Jye-Chyi, 2022. "Efficiency of resilient three-part tariff pricing schemes in residential power markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PD).
    79. Steurer, Nora & Bonilla, David, 2016. "Building sustainable transport futures for the Mexico City Metropolitan Area," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 121-133.
    80. David C. Lane & Özge Pala & Yaman Barlas & Willem L. Auping & Erik Pruyt & Jan H. Kwakkel, 2015. "Societal Ageing in the Netherlands: A Robust System Dynamics Approach," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 485-501, July.
    81. Stéphane Hallegatte & Jun Rentschler, 2015. "Risk Management for Development—Assessing Obstacles and Prioritizing Action," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(2), pages 193-210, February.
    82. Wieles, Chamon & Kwakkel, Jan & Auping, Willem L. & van den End, J.W., 2025. "Scenario discovery to address deep uncertainty in monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    83. Vladimir A. Masch, 2013. "Extensions of stochastic multiscenario models for long-range planning under uncertainty," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 43-59, March.
    84. Ram, Camelia & Montibeller, Gilberto & Morton, Alec, 2011. "Extending the use of scenario planning and MCDA for the evaluation of strategic options," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 32215, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    85. Gabriela Cristina Ribeiro Pacheco & Conceição de Maria Albuquerque Alves, 2023. "The Influence of Deep Uncertainties in the Design and Performance of Residential Rainwater Harvesting Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(4), pages 1499-1517, March.
    86. Chamon Wieles & Jan Kwakkel & Willem L. Auping & Jan Willem van den End, 2024. "Scenario discovery to address deep uncertainty in monetary policy," Working Papers 818, DNB.
    87. Julia Reis & Julie Shortridge, 2020. "Impact of Uncertainty Parameter Distribution on Robust Decision Making Outcomes for Climate Change Adaptation under Deep Uncertainty," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(3), pages 494-511, March.
    88. Katia Lobre & Jean-Baptiste Cartier, 2012. "Mutualisme bancaire, Hétérosis organisationnelle et difficultés de gouvernance," Post-Print halshs-00696908, HAL.
    89. Cira,Dean A. & Kalra,Nidhi Rajiv & Lempert,Robert J. & Lotsch,Alexander & Mao, Zhimin & Peyraud, Suzanne & Bach,Sinh Tan, 2013. "Ensuring robust flood risk management in Ho Chi Minh city," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6465, The World Bank.
    90. Caballero, William N. & Lunday, Brian J., 2019. "Influence modeling: Mathematical programming representations of persuasion under either risk or uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 278(1), pages 266-282.
    91. Luciano Raso & Jan Kwakkel & Jos Timmermans, 2019. "Assessing the Capacity of Adaptive Policy Pathways to Adapt on Time by Mapping Trigger Values to Their Outcomes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-16, March.
    92. Andrea Beretta Zanoni & Silvia Vernizzi, 2025. "How to Face Uncertainty? Planning, Robust Strategy and Multiple Scenarios the Possible Answers," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 20(3), pages 1-73, August.
    93. van der Weijde, Adriaan Hendrik & Hobbs, Benjamin F., 2012. "The economics of planning electricity transmission to accommodate renewables: Using two-stage optimisation to evaluate flexibility and the cost of disregarding uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 2089-2101.
    94. Iain White & Belinda Storey & Sally Owen & Rob Bell & Frances Charters & Rob Bell & Blair Dickie & Liam Foster & Emily Harvey & James Hughes & Suzi Kerr & Judy Lawrence & Kepa Morgan & Gavin Palmer & , 2017. "Climate Change & Stormwater and Wastewater Systems," Motu Notes Note_29, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    95. Glenn Lyons & Greg Marsden, 2021. "Opening out and closing down: the treatment of uncertainty in transport planning’s forecasting paradigm," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 595-616, April.
    96. Sam Fankhauser, 2016. "Adaptation to climate change," GRI Working Papers 255, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    97. Lempert Robert J., 2014. "Embedding (some) benefit-cost concepts into decision support processes with deep uncertainty," Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 5(3), pages 487-514, December.
    98. Mahkameh Zarekarizi & Vivek Srikrishnan & Klaus Keller, 2020. "Neglecting Uncertainties Biases House-Elevation Decisions to Manage Riverine Flood Risks," Papers 2001.06457, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
    99. Stavros A. Zenios, 2022. "The risks from climate change to sovereign debt," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 172(3), pages 1-19, June.
    100. Baustert, Paul & Othoniel, Benoit & Rugani, Benedetto & Leopold, Ulrich, 2018. "Uncertainty analysis in integrated environmental models for ecosystem service assessments: Frameworks, challenges and gaps," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 33(PB), pages 110-123.
    101. Tsao, Yu-Chung & Thanh, Vo-Van & Chang, Yi-Ying & Wei, Hsi-Hsien, 2021. "COVID-19: Government subsidy models for sustainable energy supply with disruption risks," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    102. G Montibeller & L A Franco, 2011. "Raising the bar: strategic multi-criteria decision analysis," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 62(5), pages 855-867, May.
    103. Bhave, Ajay Gajanan & Conway, Declan & Dessai, Suraje & Stainforth, David A., 2017. "Barriers and opportunities for robust decision making approaches to support climate change adaptation in the developing world," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68318, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    104. Stéphane Hallegatte & Fanny Henriet & Jan Corfee-Morlot, 2011. "The economics of climate change impacts and policy benefits at city scale: a conceptual framework," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 104(1), pages 51-87, January.
    105. Minh Ha-Duong, 2024. "Power system planning in the energy transition era: the case of Vietnam's Power Development Plan 8," CIRED Working Papers hal-04683709, HAL.
    106. Thomas D. Pol & Ekko C. Ierland & Silke Gabbert, 2017. "Economic analysis of adaptive strategies for flood risk management under climate change," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 267-285, February.
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  2. Steven W. Popper & Caroline S. Wagner, 2003. "Identifying critical technologies in the United States: a review of the federal effort," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2-3), pages 113-128.

    Cited by:

    1. Tommi Gustafsson & Ahti Salo & Ramakrishnan Ramanathan, 2003. "Multicriteria methods for technology foresight," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2-3), pages 235-255.
    2. Danilin, I. & Sidorova, E., 2024. "The concept of technological sovereignty in the transforming world," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 64(3), pages 238-243.
    3. Kroll, Henning & Ferrante, Chiara, 2024. "Redefining criticality in a changing world: Combining domestic and global perspectives on enabling technologies," Discussion Papers "Innovation Systems and Policy Analysis" 86, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
    4. Shin, Juneseuk & Park, Yongtae, 2007. "Building the national ICT frontier: The case of Korea," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 249-277, June.

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NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 2 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-AIN: Artificial Intelligence (1) 2025-08-11
  2. NEP-EXP: Experimental Economics (1) 2025-08-11
  3. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (1) 2025-12-08
  4. NEP-NEU: Neuroeconomics (1) 2025-08-11
  5. NEP-URE: Urban and Real Estate Economics (1) 2025-12-08

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