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Identifying emerging financial bubbles using machine learning

Author

Listed:
  • Manoj Kumar Reddy Bacham
  • Shaik Riyasatullah Baig
  • Kovvuri Sai Surya Avinash Reddy
  • Dudekula Saleem
  • D Mythrayee

Abstract

Financial bubbles arise very easily in unstable and fluctuating financial markets, and their bursting can cause immense economic disruption when it does occur. Traditional detection methods primarily rely on historical data, making it challenging for regulators, investors, and policymakers to anticipate and mitigate market crashes before they occur. This project shall try to use machine learning to develop a predictive model that indicates real-time early signs of financial bubbles. The model then tries to analyze the various financial market indicators, including asset prices, trading volumes, volatility, and investor sentiment, trying to find recognizable patterns associated with the bubble formations. This would allow its stakeholders to administer preventive measures in time and reduce risk, thereby protecting the financial ecosystem at its best. The work integrated advanced machine learning techniques such as time-series forecasting, anomaly detection, and behavioural analytics to improve prediction accuracy and reliability.

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Handle: RePEc:cua:edutec:v:2:y:2024:i::p:20:id:20
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