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Determinants of Export Performance of a Landlocked Country with Developing Economy: Time-series Econometric Analysis of Nepal’s Trade from 1975 to 2021

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  • Arjun Aryal

    (Tribhuvan University, Institute of Medicine, Central Department of Public Health, Maharajgunj, Kathmandu)

Abstract

The study aimed to identify the key determinants of the export performance of Nepal, a landlocked country with a developing economy. We used econometric time-series analysis to investigate the association of export performance with foreign direct investment, foreign exchange rate, and import value data from 1975 to 2021. The log-transformation of export performance, foreign direct investment (FDI), foreign exchange rate (FER), and import value were not stationary at level/order null I (0), but at the initial difference, I (1). Despite significant long-run relationships between export performance, FDI, FER, and import value, a short-term significant association existed with normalized co-integration and high log-likelihood (Adjusted R2 = 98.98, the value of Durbin-Watson test ≈2, P

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Handle: RePEc:alk:jefas0:v:6:y:2024:i:5:id:7915
DOI: 10.32996/jefas.2024.6.5.9
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