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Vulnerable growth in the euro area: Measuring the financial conditions
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- De Santis, Roberto A. & Van der Veken, Wouter, 2020. "Macroeconomic risks across the globe due to the Spanish Flu," Working Paper Series 2466, European Central Bank.
- David Kohns & Tibor Szendrei, 2021. "Decoupling Shrinkage and Selection for the Bayesian Quantile Regression," Papers 2107.08498, arXiv.org.
- Del Vecchio, Leonardo & Giglio, Carla & Shaw, Frances & Spanò, Guido & Cappelletti, Giuseppe, 2022. "A sensitivities based CoVaR approach to assets commonality and its application to SSM banks," Working Paper Series 2725, European Central Bank.
- Ferrara, Laurent & Mogliani, Matteo & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume, 2022.
"High-frequency monitoring of growth at risk,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 582-595.
- Laurent Ferrara & Matteo Mogliani & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020. "High-frequency monitoring of growth-at-risk," CAMA Working Papers 2020-97, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Jean-Guillaume Sahuc & Matteo Mogliani & Laurent Ferrara, 2022. "High-frequency monitoring of growth at risk," Post-Print hal-03361425, HAL.
- James Mitchell & Aubrey Poon & Dan Zhu, 2022. "Constructing Density Forecasts from Quantile Regressions: Multimodality in Macro-Financial Dynamics," Working Papers 22-12R, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, revised 11 Apr 2023.
- Lhuissier, Stéphane, 2022.
"Financial conditions and macroeconomic downside risks in the euro area,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
- Lhuissier Stéphane, 2022. "Financial Conditions and Macroeconomic Downside Risks in the Euro Area," Working papers 863, Banque de France.
- Gonzalez Rivera, Gloria & Rodríguez Caballero, Carlos Vladimir & Ruiz Ortega, Esther, 2021.
"Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress,"
DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS
32148, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EstadÃstica.
- Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Vladimir Rodriguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz, 2021. "Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress," Working Papers 202106, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
- Gloria González-Rivera & Carlos Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero & Esther Ruiz Ortega, 2021. "Expecting the unexpected: economic growth under stress," CREATES Research Papers 2021-06, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Bochmann, Paul & Dieckelmann, Daniel & Fahr, Stephan & Ruzicka, Josef, 2023. "Financial stability considerations in the conduct of monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2870, European Central Bank.
- Todd E. Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021.
"Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model,"
Papers
2110.03411, arXiv.org.
- Todd Clark & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & Massimiliano Marcellino & Michael Pfarrhofer, 2021. "Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model," Working Papers 2307, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
- repec:ecb:ecbdps:202113 is not listed on IDEAS
- Botelho, Vasco & Foroni, Claudia & Renzetti, Andrea, 2023. "Labour at risk," Working Paper Series 2840, European Central Bank.
- Lang, Jan Hannes & Rusnák, Marek & Greiwe, Moritz, 2023. "Medium-term growth-at-risk in the euro area," Working Paper Series 2808, European Central Bank.
- Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Kremer, Manfred, 2023. "Measuring systemic financial stress and its risks for growth," Working Paper Series 2842, European Central Bank.
- Angelini, Elena & Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Zimic, Srečko & Damjanović, Milan, 2020. "ECB-BASIR: a primer on the macroeconomic implications of the Covid-19 pandemic," Working Paper Series 2431, European Central Bank.
- Szendrei, Tibor & Varga, Katalin, 2023. "Revisiting vulnerable growth in the Euro Area: Identifying the role of financial conditions in the distribution," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
- Suarez, Javier, 2022. "Growth-at-risk and macroprudential policy design," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
- Busetti, Fabio & Caivano, Michele & Delle Monache, Davide & Pacella, Claudia, 2021.
"The time-varying risk of Italian GDP,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
- Fabio Busetti & Michele Caivano & Davide Delle Monache & Claudia Pacella, 2020. "The time-varying risk of Italian GDP," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1288, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Milan Szabo, 2020. "Growth-at-Risk: Bayesian Approach," Working Papers 2020/3, Czech National Bank.
- Chavleishvili, Sulkhan & Fahr, Stephan & Kremer, Manfred & Manganelli, Simone & Schwaab, Bernd, 2021. "A risk management perspective on macroprudential policy," Working Paper Series 2556, European Central Bank.
- Sokol, Andrej, 2021. "Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement," Working Paper Series 2624, European Central Bank.
- Marian Vavra, 2023. "Bias-Correction in Time Series Quantile Regression Models," Working and Discussion Papers WP 3/2023, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
- De Santis, Roberto A. & Van der Veken, Wouter, 2020. "Forecasting macroeconomic risk in real time: Great and Covid-19 Recessions," Working Paper Series 2436, European Central Bank.
- Mihail Yanchev, 2022. "Deep Growth-at-Risk Model: Nowcasting the 2020 Pandemic Lockdown Recession in Small Open Economies," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 7, pages 20-41.
- Eraslan, Sercan & Schröder, Maximilian, 2023. "Nowcasting GDP with a pool of factor models and a fast estimation algorithm," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1460-1476.
- policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Policy, Monetary & Stability, Financial & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas , 2023. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.
- policy, Work stream on macroprudential & Albertazzi, Ugo & Martin, Alberto & Assouan, Emmanuelle & Tristani, Oreste & Galati, Gabriele & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2021. "The role of financial stability considerations in monetary policy and the interaction with macroprudential policy in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 272, European Central Bank.