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The effectiveness of school closures and other pre-lockdown COVID-19 mitigation strategies in Argentina, Italy, and South Korea

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  • Neidhöfer, Guido
  • Neidhöfer, Claudio

Abstract

The rapid spread of COVID-19 forced policy-makers to swiftly find solutions to reduce infection rates and keep mortality as low as possible. Empirical analyses on the effectiveness of control measures are hereby of primary importance. School closures were among the earliest measures enacted by the governments of most countries. However, while schools are now reopening in many countries, the impact of school closures on the course of the epidemic is still an open question. Adopting parametric and non-parametric synthetic control methods we estimate the effectiveness of pro-active school closures, and other early social distancing interventions, in three countries that reacted relatively early during the course of the pandemic. Our findings suggest that these interventions were effective at reducing the mortality rate of COVID-19, especially when enacted early.

Suggested Citation

  • Neidhöfer, Guido & Neidhöfer, Claudio, 2020. "The effectiveness of school closures and other pre-lockdown COVID-19 mitigation strategies in Argentina, Italy, and South Korea," ZEW Discussion Papers 20-034, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewdip:20034
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jérôme Adda, 2016. "Economic Activity and the Spread of Viral Diseases: Evidence from High Frequency Data," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(2), pages 891-941.
    2. Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln & Moritz Kuhn & Michèle Tertilt, 2020. "The Short-Run Macro Implications of School and Child-Care Closures," CESifo Working Paper Series 8368, CESifo.
    3. T Déirdre Hollingsworth & Don Klinkenberg & Hans Heesterbeek & Roy M Anderson, 2011. "Mitigation Strategies for Pandemic Influenza A: Balancing Conflicting Policy Objectives," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(2), pages 1-11, February.
    4. Yun Qiu & Xi Chen & Wei Shi, 2020. "Impacts of social and economic factors on the transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 33(4), pages 1127-1172, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Janbani, Zahra & Osmani, Freshteh, 2023. "Performance of two educational approaches in increasing knowledge of high-school students about COVID-19 during the first wave of pandemic," Evaluation and Program Planning, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; policy evaluation; school closures; mitigation strategies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • J18 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Public Policy

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