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Are My Neighbours Ageing Yet? Local Dimensions of Demographic Change in German Cities

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  • Neumann, Uwe

Abstract

In the discussion about demographic change, the regional dimension so far has played a subordinate role. Based on municipal data for the period between 1998 and 2008, this paper examines to what extent recent demographic change has affected the population of cities and neighbourhoods, focusing on the largest urban agglomeration in Germany, the Rhine-Ruhr conurbation in North Rhine-Westphalia. The local outcomes of demographic change are modified considerably by regional migration and interrelate closely with regional prosperity. The survey provides a precise outline of the interrelation between basic demographic characteristics and shifts in the composition of neighbourhood populations over the study period. The analysis shows that in the most thriving cities, there is a particularly strong tendency of young adults to separate from other demographic groups. In neighbourhoods where there is no such influx of younger people, particularly in low-density residential areas on the urban fringe, rapid demographic ageing aff ects neighbourhood populations and local economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Neumann, Uwe, 2012. "Are My Neighbours Ageing Yet? Local Dimensions of Demographic Change in German Cities," Ruhr Economic Papers 319, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:rwirep:319
    DOI: 10.4419/86788368
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    Cited by:

    1. N. Renuga Nagarajan & Aurora A. C. Teixeira & Sandra T. Silva, 2021. "Ageing Population: Identifying the Determinants of Ageing in the Least Developed Countries," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 40(2), pages 187-210, April.
    2. Uwe Neumann, 2015. "Ageing by feet? Regional migration, neighbourhood choice and local demographic change in German cities," ERSA conference papers ersa15p518, European Regional Science Association.
    3. Dănuț-Vasile JEMNA & Mihaela DAVID, 2021. "Determinants of ageing in Romania. Evidence from regional-level panel analysis," CES Working Papers, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 13(1), pages 17-32, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Demographic change; neighbourhoods; segregation; migration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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